环境规制约束下的雾霾脱钩效应——基于重污染产业转移视角的解释

发布时间：2019-05-09 01:29

【摘要】：分析环境规制约束下重污染产业转移对中国实现工业发展与雾霾污染脱钩的影响效应;探究环境规制约束下重污染产业转移对本地工业发展与雾霾污染脱钩的影响;根据重污染产业向外迁移的特点,提出"寻找污染天堂"式转移和空间邻近式转移两种模式,并分别验证重污染产业以上述两种模式进行转移时,对周边地区工业发展与雾霾污染脱钩的空间效应。结果表明:(1)重污染产业向外迁移显著促进了本地区工业发展与雾霾污染脱钩,且环境规制强度提高有助于增强重污染产业向外迁移的雾霾脱钩效应;(2)高环境规制地区重污染产业外迁对低环境规制地区雾霾脱钩影响不显著,但如果两地区环境规制强度差距拉大将导致高环境规制强度地区重污染产业外迁对低环境规制地区雾霾脱钩强度的负面影响;(3)重污染产业遵循空间邻近转移模式,由于雾霾污染具有强空间扩散性,导致周边地区重污染产业集聚或外迁均对本地区雾霾污染脱钩产生影响,但如果本地区提高环境规制强度,则会敦促周边地区重污染产业外迁至更远地区,降低周边地区重污染产业向外迁移对本地区雾霾脱钩强度的负面影响。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the influence of heavy pollution industry transfer on China's industrial development and haze pollution decoupling under the restriction of environmental regulation, and probes into the influence of heavy pollution industry transfer on local industry development and haze pollution decoupling under environmental regulation constraints, and analyzes the impact of heavy pollution industry transfer on local industry development and haze pollution decoupling under environmental regulation constraints. According to the characteristics of outward migration of heavy pollution industry, two modes of "looking for pollution paradise" type transfer and space neighbor type transfer are put forward, and it is verified that when the heavy pollution industry is transferred by the two modes mentioned above, The spatial effect of decoupling between industrial development and haze pollution in the surrounding area. The results showed that: (1) the outward migration of heavy pollution industry significantly promoted the decoupling of industrial development from haze pollution in this area, and the increase of environmental regulation intensity was helpful to enhance the haze decoupling effect of outward migration of heavy pollution industry; (2) the migration of heavy pollution industries in high environmental regulation areas has no significant effect on the decoupling of haze in low environmental regulation areas. However, if the gap of environmental regulation intensity between the two regions is enlarged, it will lead to the negative effect of the migration of heavy pollution industries on the haze decoupling intensity in low environmental regulation areas in the areas with high environmental regulation intensity. (3) the heavy pollution industry follows the spatial proximity transfer model. Because of the strong spatial diffusion of haze pollution, the concentration or outward migration of heavy pollution industries in the surrounding areas will have an impact on the decoupling of haze pollution in this area. However, if the intensity of environmental regulation is enhanced in this region, the heavily polluted industries in the surrounding areas will be urged to move out to further areas, so as to reduce the negative impact of outward migration of heavily polluted industries in the surrounding areas on the haze decoupling intensity in the region.
【作者单位】：南京财经大学江苏产业发展研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年项目资助“基于空间关联与产业代谢的长江经济带可持续发展评价与调控对策”(71603111)
【分类号】：X22;X51

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