低密度住宅总承包项目机电工程风险评价研究

发布时间：2018-02-10 09:35

本文关键词： 低密度住宅机电工程项目风险层次分析法　出处：《天津大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：风险管理自上世纪50年代以来,越来越受到各国企业领导层和项目实施层的重视,相关理论和方法工具也在实践中逐步得到丰富和发展。在工程项目实施层面,基于工程自身的特点和存在各种条件约束因素的影响,风险管理的课题更具有现实的意义。低密度群体住宅作为一类特殊的民用建筑住宅工程,由于高端购买客户品质需求的特殊性和项目施工的特点,其机电工程施工风险比常规意义上的建筑工程更为突出。为保证该类机电工程在实施管理受控的状态下达到最终交付并满足客户定位需求和社会效益的更好体现,施工过程需运用风险管理理论和工具进行各种风险辨识并加以分析和评价,采取相应的风险管控措施保证项目管理体系高效能、低风险运行。论文对低密度住宅和总承包项目施工管理特点进行了阐述,在此基础上进一步分析低密度住宅项目机电工程施工的风险特点,进行了该类型项目机电施工风险的辨识和风险分析论述,建立了以综合层次分析法为主要架构的低密度住宅工程机电施工风险评价体系。选取了一个滚动开发的高端别墅群项目机电实施的案例,进行了针对固定总价含变更洽商的特殊条件下风险的定性分析和风险量化分析,对项目整体风险进行评估,同时在针对性风险应对措施方面进行了实际操作层面的叙述。本论文立足于微观风险管控的立场,力求在实际工程项目中用比较客观和简单可行方法进行风险管理尝试,为针对性风险管理方法提供借鉴。
[Abstract]:Since -50s, risk management has been paid more and more attention by the enterprise leadership and project implementation level of various countries, and the related theories and methods have been enriched and developed gradually in practice. Based on the characteristics of the project itself and the influence of various conditions and constraints, the subject of risk management has more practical significance. Due to the particularity of the quality requirements of high-end purchasing customers and the characteristics of project construction, The construction risk of the electromechanical engineering is more prominent than that of the conventional construction engineering. In order to ensure the final delivery of this kind of mechanical and electrical engineering under the condition of the implementation of management and control and to meet the needs of the customer orientation and the better embodiment of the social benefits, In the construction process, risk management theory and tools should be used to identify, analyze and evaluate the risks, and the corresponding risk control measures should be taken to ensure the high efficiency of the project management system. This paper expounds the construction management characteristics of low-density housing and general contracting projects, and further analyzes the risk characteristics of electromechanical engineering construction in low-density residential projects. The risk identification and risk analysis of electromechanical construction of this type of project are discussed. A risk evaluation system for electromechanical construction of low density residential engineering is established based on comprehensive analytic hierarchy process (AHP). A case of mechanical and electrical implementation of high-end villa group project is selected. The qualitative analysis and risk quantitative analysis of the risk under the special condition that the fixed total price includes change negotiation are carried out, and the overall risk of the project is evaluated. At the same time, the practical operational aspects of the targeted risk response measures are described. This paper is based on the position of micro-risk management, and tries to use more objective and simple methods to manage risk in actual engineering projects. To provide reference for targeted risk management methods.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TU85;TU71

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