绿色建筑项目决策阶段风险评价研究

发布时间：2018-06-10 15:21

本文选题：绿色建筑 + 项目风险　；参考：《浙江大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：党的十八大报告中把环境保护,资源节约,能源节约,发展可再生能源,水、大气、土壤污染治理等等一系列事项统一为“生态文明”的概念,而绿色建筑是生态文明建设中的重要组成之一。本文从承包商的角度研究绿色建筑项目的风险问题。在分析国内外绿色建筑项目风险研究现状和介绍项目风险管理知识的基础上,分析绿色建筑项目的特点,通过比较绿色建筑项目与一般建筑项目的区别,发现绿色建筑项目在目标风险、管理风险、技术风险等方面管理难度较一般项目更大的特性。运用现代项目管理中的风险分解结构理论,结合传统的专家意见等方法,根据绿色建筑项目的特点,从绿色建筑全寿命周期角度建立绿色建筑项目风险分解结构,得到影响绿色建筑项目的风险要素。在上述研究基础上,首次构建了包含6个一级指标和30个二级指标在内的绿色建筑项目风险评价指标体系；基于属性层次模型(AHM),构建了基于模糊综合评价的绿色建筑项目风险评价模型,建立适合绿色建筑项目风险评价的体系。选择某绿色建筑科技馆项目进行实证分析,研究发现该科技馆项目的风险为一般风险,该评价结果将为承包商进行决策和施工过程中的风险控制提供依据。
[Abstract]:In the report of the 18th National Congress of the CPC, a series of issues such as environmental protection, resource conservation, energy conservation, development of renewable energy, water, atmosphere, soil pollution control and so on were unified into the concept of "ecological civilization." Green building is one of the important components in the construction of ecological civilization. On the basis of analyzing the present situation of research on the risk of green building projects at home and abroad and introducing the knowledge of project risk management, this paper analyzes the characteristics of green building projects, and compares the differences between green building projects and general construction projects. It is found that the green building project is more difficult to manage in terms of target risk, management risk, technical risk and so on. Using the theory of risk decomposition structure in modern project management, combining the traditional expert opinion and so on, it is found that the management of green building project is more difficult than that of the general project. According to the characteristics of green building project, the risk decomposition structure of green building project is established from the view of the whole life cycle of green building, and the risk factors influencing green building project are obtained. The risk evaluation index system of green building project including 6 first-grade indexes and 30 second-grade indexes is constructed for the first time, and the risk evaluation model of green building project based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is constructed based on attribute hierarchy model. Set up the system suitable for the risk evaluation of green building project. A green building science and technology museum project is selected for empirical analysis. It is found that the risk of the science and technology museum project is a general risk. The evaluation results will provide the basis for the contractor to make decisions and control the risks in the construction process.
【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TU201.5;TU71

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