基于解释结构模型的影响建筑节能发展的因素研究

发布时间：2018-06-28 21:47

本文选题：建筑节能 + 发展现状　；参考：《重庆大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：能源危机与环境污染是现代社会发展面临的巨大挑战，节能减排成为全球关注的焦点。建筑与工业、交通并列为社会能源消耗的三大领域，也是温室气体排放的重要来源之一。现阶段，我国建筑能耗占社会总能耗的比例已超过30%，建筑领域排放的温室气体占总排放量的1/4，开展建筑节能对于节能减排的推动具有重要意义。我国对建筑节能高度重视，采取了一系列措施，但建筑能耗仍呈刚性增长态势，建筑节能进展缓慢，发展中存在大量问题与困难，这是由于众多的原因所导致，找到关键原因，，对于推动建筑节能发展具有重要意义。妨碍建筑节能发展的因素众多，因素间存在错综复杂的关系。本文以影响建筑节能发展的因素为研究对象，通过定量分析与定性分析相结合，现状分析与趋势分析相结合，从以下几个方面进行相关研究。首先，通过分析我国建筑能耗现状与特点，以及六项建筑节能发展中存在的主要问题，基于文献综述总结以及专家咨询，列出影响建筑节能发展的因素清单。其次，分析影响建筑节能发展的因素之间的相互影响关系，构建关联矩阵；并基于解释结构模型，理顺影响因素之间的结构关系，绘制从下至上的5级递阶结构图，将影响因素分为表层因素、中层因素与深层因素3个部分，指出政策法规体系不完善、市场机制不健全、节能意识有待提高三个因素是影响建筑节能发展的深层因素。第三，根据深层因素的不同变化趋势设置基准情景、节能情景与受挫情景三个情景，对2020年建筑节能发展进行情景分析，以建筑能耗总量和CO2排放量为评价指标，衡量关键因素的变化对建筑节能发展的影响程度。结果指出在2020年节能情景与基准情景相比节约2.4亿吨标准煤，CO2排放量下降19%。说明针对关键因素采取有效措施能有效降低建筑能耗与CO2排放量，对建筑节能发展具有积极作用。最后，根据政策法规、市场机制、节能意识的现状，从这三个方面提出发展建议，为相关节能措施的制定提供理论依据。
[Abstract]:Energy crisis and environmental pollution are great challenges to the development of modern society. Energy saving and emission reduction become the focus of global attention. Construction, industry and transportation are the three fields of social energy consumption, and also one of the important sources of greenhouse gas emissions. At present, the proportion of building energy consumption to total energy consumption in our country has exceeded 30%, and the greenhouse gas emissions from the construction field account for 1 / 4 of the total emissions. It is of great significance to promote energy saving and emission reduction by building energy saving. Our country attaches great importance to building energy conservation, and has taken a series of measures, but the building energy consumption is still showing a rigid growth trend, building energy conservation progress is slow, there are a lot of problems and difficulties in the development, this is caused by many reasons, find the key reasons. It is of great significance to promote the development of building energy conservation. There are many factors hindering the development of building energy conservation, and there are intricate relationships among them. This paper takes the factors that affect the development of building energy conservation as the research object, through the combination of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, current situation analysis and trend analysis, carries on the related research from the following several aspects. Firstly, by analyzing the current situation and characteristics of building energy consumption in China, and the main problems in the development of building energy conservation, based on the summary of literature and expert consultation, this paper lists the factors that affect the development of building energy conservation. Secondly, the paper analyzes the mutual influence of the factors influencing the development of building energy conservation, constructs the correlation matrix, and draws the hierarchical structure diagram of five levels from the bottom to the top, based on explaining the structural model and straightening out the structural relationship among the influencing factors. The influencing factors are divided into three parts: surface factor, middle factor and deep factor. It is pointed out that imperfect policy and regulation system, imperfect market mechanism and energy saving consciousness are the deep factors affecting the development of building energy conservation. Thirdly, according to the different trends of deep factors, setting up benchmark scenario, energy-saving scenario and frustration scenario, the paper analyzes the development of building energy conservation in 2020, taking the total building energy consumption and CO2 emissions as the evaluation index. To measure the influence of the change of key factors on the development of building energy conservation. The results show that the energy saving scenario in 2020 can save 240 million tons of standard coal and reduce CO _ 2 emission by 19% compared with the standard scenario. It is shown that taking effective measures in view of key factors can effectively reduce building energy consumption and CO2 emissions, and play a positive role in building energy conservation development. Finally, according to the current situation of policies and regulations, market mechanism and energy saving consciousness, the author puts forward some development suggestions from these three aspects to provide theoretical basis for the formulation of relevant energy-saving measures.
【学位授予单位】：重庆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：TU111.195

【参考文献】