合同能源管理风险评价研究

发布时间：2018-04-15 19:43

本文选题：合同能源管理 + 风险评价　；参考：《复旦大学》2009年硕士论文

【摘要】： 合同能源管理是一种能兼顾社会、国家、企业客户、节能服务公司各方利益,能实现双赢甚至多赢的、十分有益的运作模式。但在我国的实践过程中,合同能源管理的发展还处于艰难的市场推广过程中。作为合同能源管理的运作公司-节能服务公司在市场生存环境中不仅要面对旧观念的抵制、体制缺陷、税赋不合理、缺少权威中介等大的市场环境问题,还要经常面对信用缺失的尴尬局面。国情不同,市场不同,经济环境不同,行政体制不同。这些都造成了合同能源管理在我国开展过程中面临着不同特点的风险。合同能源管理要发展,成功的关键是节能服务公司和客户双方都能够受益—即双赢;双方都能够分享节能效益的前提是制定合理的效益分享原则;而合理的效益分享模型建立有赖于对合同能源管理项目风险的正确识别。风险可以量化,当然合同能源管理在我国运作过程中的风险也能量化。但是目前大多数节能服务公司基本上还是在依靠经验进行管理。本文以风险评价为主线,按照选择风险识别-建立wBS分解-刻划风险评价指标体系-运用层次分析法确定风险评价指标权重-采用模糊综合评价法构造风险评价数学模型这一过程,给出了在我国目前经济环境和行政体制下实行合同能源管理项目的一种风险评价的方法和手段。
[Abstract]:Contract energy management is a very beneficial operation mode which can take into account the interests of society, state, enterprise customers and energy-saving service companies, and can achieve win-win or even multi-win.But in our country, the development of contract energy management is still in the difficult process of marketing.As the operating company of contract energy management, the energy-saving service company not only has to face the problems of the market environment, such as the resistance of the old idea, the system defect, the unreasonable tax, the lack of authoritative intermediary and so on.Also often face the embarrassing situation of lack of credit.Different national conditions, different markets, different economic environment, different administrative system.All these result in the risk of different characteristics of contract energy management in our country.To develop the contract energy management, the key to success lies in the benefit of both the energy-saving service company and the customer, that is, the win-win situation, the premise that both parties can share the benefit of energy conservation is to establish the reasonable benefit sharing principle.The establishment of a reasonable benefit sharing model depends on the correct identification of the risk of the contract energy management project.Risk can be quantified, of course, the risk of contract energy management in China can also be quantified.But at present most energy-saving service companies are basically relying on experience to manage.This paper takes risk assessment as the main line,According to the process of selecting risk identification, establishing wBS decomposition-delineating risk evaluation index system, determining the weight of risk evaluation index by AHP and using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to construct risk evaluation mathematical model,This paper presents a method and means to evaluate the risk of the contract energy management project under the current economic environment and administrative system in China.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2009
【分类号】：F206

【相似文献】