我国环境规制对产业结构调整的影响及其空间异质性分析

发布时间：2018-01-16 13:34

本文关键词：我国环境规制对产业结构调整的影响及其空间异质性分析　出处：《江西财经大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：当前,环境污染问题已成为世界各国所共同面对的问题,为防治环境污染,各国相继出台和实施了一系列的环境规制政策和措施。为避免经济增长与环境破坏的恶性循环,中国"十二五"规划、中共中央"十三五"规划建议以及国务院印发的《中国制造2025》都明确提出了今后经济社会发展的方向应是经济结构的优化、人口资源环境的可持续发展和社会的全面发展,经济社会发展的主要目标和基本理念之一就是坚持绿色发展,加快建设资源节约型、环境友好型社会,形成人与自然和谐发展现代化建设新格局。环境规制是通过一系列环境规制政策和措施达到预定的环境保护的质量。产业结构调整是对各产业部门之间的数量比例关系以及经济技术联系进行调整,使之相互适应和协调。当前,我国正处于经济转型的关键时期,经济的高速发展与环境污染问题并存,中国经济发展具有不平衡性,东部地区经济发展水平显著高于中西部地区,而且环境问题具有区域性和跨区域性特点,因此,处理好我国环境规制与产业结构调整之间的关系具有重大的学术价值和实践意义。本文试图在已有研究的基础上,分析环境规制对我国产业结构调整的影响及其空间异质性。本文首先对现有文献研究进行了梳理,发现已有研究存在某些不足之处:(1)关于环境规制强度指标的构建和测算不统一且较多采用单项指标;(2)大都从整体效应上研究我国环境规制和产业结构之间的关系,缺乏研究我国环境规制对产业结构调整影响空间异质性的文献。其次,本文从产业结构调整理论角度入手,按照环境规制——中间变量——产业结构调整的作用路径,定性分析了环境规制通过中间变量(进入壁垒、消费需求、技术创新和FDI)对产业结构调整影响的二重性;通过构建计量模型,定量分析了环境规制对中间变量、环境规制对产业结构调整以及环境规制、中间变量对产业结构调整的影响,通过实证分析得出结论:从整体上看,我国的环境规制会对产业结构调整产生促进作用,且环境规制对产业结构调整的促进作用通过两个方面实现,一是环境规制的直接效应,二是中间变量的中介效应。再次,本文通过构建门限面板模型,定量分析了环境规制对产业结构调整影响的二重性。根据门限面板设定原理,以产业结构调整为因变量、环境规制为自变量,以环境规制及其滞后一期作为门限变量构建门限面板模型,通过门槛检验选择环境规制强度ERI作为门槛变量,然后依据门槛估计值,将我国30个省份地区内生性分组为弱度规制和强度规制两组,对内生性分组进行门槛面板回归,结果表明,我国的环境规制对产业结构调整的影响具有双重性质,表现为空间上的异质性。具体来说,随着环境规制强度的由弱到强,我国的环境规制对产业结构调整的促进作用开始较为平缓,当环境规制达到一定强度时,环境规制对产业结构调整的促进作用就会加快。最后,根据本文结论,提出了我国应该加大环境规制力度,提高企业进入壁垒、坚持环境规制政策,改善消费需求结构、降低环境规制成本,减少创新挤出效应、提高环境规制标准,发挥规制招引效应和因地制宜环境规制,实现环境经济双赢的政策建议。本文在一定程度上弥补了现有研究的不足,如采用工业污染物排放量的标准化值和平均权重来构建环境规制强度的综合指标、通过分析得出环境规制对产业结构调整的影响具有空间异质性的观点等。但也存在许多不足之处,如未能具体分析环境规制对中间变量影响的非线性关系、仅采用一种计量方法对模型进行估计等,有待在今后的学术研究中进一步深化和完善。
[Abstract]:At present, the problem of environmental pollution has become the world common problems, for the prevention and control of environmental pollution, many countries have issued and implemented a series of policies and measures of environmental regulation. In order to avoid the economic growth and environmental damage Chinese vicious spiral, "12th Five-Year" plan, the CPC Central Committee and the State Council "13th Five-Year" planning proposal issued < China 2025> put forward the future economic and social development direction should be to optimize the economic structure, the comprehensive development of the sustainable development of population resources environment and society, one of the main objectives of economic and social development and the basic idea is to adhere to green development, accelerate the construction of resource-saving and environment-friendly society, the formation of a new pattern of harmony between man and nature the development of modernization. The environmental regulation is intended to protect environment quality through a series of environmental regulation policies and measures of the adjustment of industrial structure. The whole is to adjust the proportion between the various industrial sectors and the relationship between economic technology, the mutual adaptation and coordination. At present, China is in a critical period of economic transformation, the coexistence of high speed economic development and environmental pollution problems, has Chinese uneven economic development, economic development level of the eastern region was significantly higher than that in the central and western regions moreover, environmental problems with regional and inter regional characteristics, therefore, it has great academic value and practical significance to handle the relationship between China's environmental regulation and industrial structure adjustment. This paper based on the existing research, analysis the impact of environmental regulation on China's industrial structure adjustment and spatial heterogeneity. This paper first the author summarizes the existing literature, the study found that there are some shortcomings: (1) on the strength of environmental regulation of the construction of the index and measurement is not unified and More use of single index; (2) most of the relationship between China's environmental regulation and industrial structure from the overall effect, the lack of influence of spatial heterogeneity of the literature on the study of industrial structure adjustment of China's environmental regulation. Secondly, from the perspective of industrial structure adjustment theory, according to the path of environmental regulation -- the middle variable of industrial structure the qualitative analysis of the environmental regulation through the intermediate variables (entry barriers, consumer demand, technological innovation and FDI) on the duality of industrial structure adjustment effect; by constructing econometric model, quantitative analysis of environmental regulation on the intermediate variables of environmental regulation on the adjustment of industrial structure and environmental regulation, effect of intermediate variables on the adjustment of industrial structure through empirical analysis, draw the conclusion: on the whole, China's environmental regulation will have a role in promoting the adjustment of industrial structure, and environmental regulation on Industry The structure adjustment promoted by two aspects, one is the direct effect of environmental regulation, two is the mediating effect of intermediate variables. Thirdly, this paper constructs threshold panel model, quantitative analysis of the impact of environmental regulation on the industrial structure adjustment. According to the threshold panel setting principle, to adjust the industrial structure as the dependent variable. Environmental regulation as independent variables, to environmental regulation and its phase as the threshold variable threshold panel model constructed by threshold test selection lag, the intensity of environmental regulation ERI as the threshold variable, then according to the estimated value of the threshold, the packet has 30 provinces in China's weak degree of regulation and intensity of regulation of two groups of endogenous grouping threshold the panel regression, results show that the impact of environmental regulation in China on the adjustment of industrial structure has a dual nature, showing heterogeneity in space. Specifically, with the environment The regulation of strength from weak to strong, promote the role of environmental regulation in China started on the adjustment of industrial structure is relatively smooth, when the environmental regulation reaches a certain intensity, environmental regulation effect on industrial structure adjustment will be accelerated. Finally, according to the conclusions of this paper, put forward our country should increase the intensity of environmental regulation, improve the industry entry barriers, adhere to the environment the regulation policy, improve the structure of consumption demand, reduce the cost of environmental regulation, reduce innovation crowding out effect, improve the standard of environmental regulation, regulation effect and to play to the environmental regulation, to achieve environmental and economic win-win situation policy suggestions. This paper makes up for the lack of existing research to a certain extent, such as the use of industrial pollutants emission standard value and mean the weight indexes of environmental regulation strength, through the analysis of the impact of environmental regulation on the industrial structure adjustment of space Heterogeneity, etc., but there are still many shortcomings. For example, failure to analyze the nonlinear relationship between environmental regulation and intermediate variables can not be analyzed in detail, and only use a measurement method to estimate the model. It needs further deepening and improvement in the future academic research.

【学位授予单位】：江西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：X22;F121.3

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