广东省承接国际产业转移与产业结构优化研究

发布时间：2018-02-03 05:46

  本文关键词： 国际产业转移 对外贸易 外商直接投资 合约生产 产业结构优化　出处：《南昌大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,广东省利用毗邻港澳的区位优势和国家改革开放的政策倾斜优势,积极承接发达国家产业转移,参与国际分工与贸易,吸引外商直接投资,经济保持高速增长态势。随着全球经济一体化进程的不断深入,各国产业之间的联系日益紧密,国际产业转移在广东省产业结构的调整和优化进程中发挥着至关重要的作用。2008年全球金融危机以来,新一轮的世界经济结构调整浪潮正在席卷全球,广东省要审时度势,抓住机遇,积极承接国际产业转移,促进产业结构优化,加快经济转型升级,开创全方位对外开放新格局。本文以国际产业转移与承接地产业结构优化为研究对象,以广东省产业结构现状为出发点,综合运用经济学相关知识,理论分析和实证检验广东省承接国际产业转移对其产业结构的优化效应。首先,系统分析国际产业转移与产业结构优化的相关理论基础,构建一个开放经济环境下国际产业转移影响承接地产业结构调整的研究框架,从对外贸易、外商直接投资和合约性生产三个角度分析国际产业转移对承接地产业结构优化的内在作用机理。其次,在客观分析广东省产业结构状况及承接国际产业转移状况的基础上,对广东省承接国际产业转移推动产业结构优化的效应进行计量分析。采用广东省1990-2013年的进出口贸易额、外商直接投资额、加工贸易额、三次产业生产总值等时间序列数据,运用EViews6.0统计软件,利用贸易竞争力指数,通过构筑进口贸易结构指数、出口贸易结构指数、外商投资产业结构指数、加工贸易结构指数和产业结构指数五个变量,采用协整检验、Granger因果关系检验、脉冲检测和方差分解等计量经济学方法实证分析广东省承接国际产业转移对其产业结构的优化效应。最后,在新一轮国际产业大调整和转移的机遇下,广东省应改善投资环境,增强产业承接能力;推进经济结构战略性调整,大力发展第三产业,提升产业层次;优化外贸发展方式,加快经济转型升级;丰富国际投资方式,优化外资产业投向;积极承接服务外包产业,优化产业结构。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Guangdong Province has taken advantage of the regional advantages adjacent to Hong Kong and Macao and the favorable policy of reform and opening to the outside world to actively undertake the industrial transfer of developed countries, participate in international division of labor and trade, and attract foreign direct investment. With the deepening of the process of global economic integration, the relationship between the industries of various countries is becoming more and more close. International industrial transfer plays an important role in the process of industrial structure adjustment and optimization in Guangdong Province. Since the global financial crisis in 2008, a new wave of world economic restructuring is sweeping the world. Guangdong should review the situation, seize the opportunity, actively undertake international industrial transfer, promote the optimization of industrial structure, and accelerate economic transformation and upgrading. This article takes the international industrial transfer and the undertaking real estate industry structure optimization as the research object, takes the Guangdong Province industrial structure present situation as the starting point, synthetically uses the economics related knowledge. Theoretical analysis and empirical test of Guangdong Province to undertake international industrial transfer to its industrial structure optimization effect. First, systematic analysis of international industrial transfer and industrial structure optimization related theoretical basis. To construct a research framework of international industrial transfer to undertake real estate restructuring under the open economic environment, from the perspective of foreign trade. Foreign direct investment and contract production to analyze the international industrial transfer to undertake the real estate industry structure optimization internal mechanism. Secondly. Based on the objective analysis of the industrial structure of Guangdong Province and the status of undertaking international industrial transfer. Based on the econometric analysis of the effects of Guangdong province's undertaking international industrial transfer to promote the optimization of industrial structure, the volume of import and export trade, foreign direct investment and processing trade volume of Guangdong Province from 1990 to 2013 were adopted. Using the EViews6.0 statistical software and the trade competitiveness index, the author constructs the import trade structure index and the export trade structure index. The industrial structure index, processing trade structure index and industrial structure index of foreign investment are tested by co-integration test and Granger causality test. This paper empirically analyzes the optimization effect of Guangdong province on the industrial structure by undertaking international industrial transfer with the econometric methods such as impulse detection and variance decomposition. Finally, under the opportunity of a new round of international industrial adjustment and transfer. Guangdong Province should improve the investment environment and strengthen the industry undertaking ability; Promote the strategic adjustment of economic structure, vigorously develop the tertiary industry, and upgrade the industrial level; To optimize the mode of foreign trade development and accelerate the economic transformation and upgrading; Enrich the international investment mode and optimize the investment of foreign investment industry; Actively undertake the service outsourcing industry, optimize the industrial structure.
【学位授予单位】：南昌大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F127
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本文编号：1486594