长春市产业转型研究

发布时间：2018-02-21 22:32

本文关键词： 长春市区域经济产业转型经济增长　出处：《吉林大学》2016年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,长春市的经济建设取得了令人瞩目的成就,产业不断转型升级。但传统老工业基地的历史积淀也在一定程度上迟滞了长春市产业结构转换、主导产业的升级,制约了整体经济的发展。而在当前世界新产业革命兴起、我国新产业体系构建的时期,东北经济出现断崖式衰退,长春市加速推进产业转型已迫在眉睫。从已有研究来看,对长春市产业转型的研究大多是定性分析或只针对某个特定产业部门进行的分析,少有对全市产业转型与经济增长的定量分析。为此,本文从产业结构、主导产业选择、可持续发展等理论入手,对国内外研究进行了梳理,并重新界定了产业转型的内涵,分析了产业转型的动因、影响因素及主要方式,论述了产业转型与区域经济增长的相互作用机制。在改革开放前、改革开放初期和深化改革三个阶段的产业发展历程中,长春市产业转型一直在缓慢进行着。这种产业转型,既包括产业结构由“二一三”向“二三一”的调整,也包括主导产业由汽车独大向汽车为主、农产品加工和轨道客车为辅的格局的转变。同时,光电子信息、生物医药、新能源、新材料、建材和先进装备制造业等六大战略性新兴产业正在快速发展,初步构建了新产业体系的基本框架。我们进一步从产业结构、主导产业、产业技术和产业体系等角度,对长春市产业发展与经济增长的关系进行了分析,总结出长春市产业发展现状的特点:第一,产业体系不够完善,产业体系内部各产业之间经济关联度较低。第二,经济增长对主导产业过度依赖。而且,汽车制造业、农产品加工业、轨道客车虽然都是主导产业,但内部结构也严重失衡,汽车业独大问题仍然没有根本解决。第三,产业结构仍不合理,三次产业间关联度不高,第三产业尚不发达,亟待提升。在实证分析中,我们依据大量的基础数据和多个测度模型对长春市的产业结构进行了细化分析和定量分析,并对产业转型速度、动力因素、与经济增长速度和质量的关系进行分析,构建了多元线性回归模型得到长春市产业发展与经济增长的回归方程,发现GDP的增长中的第二产业的产值弹性最高。最后,基于理论与实证的研究,深入探讨了长春市产业发展中存在的问题及成因,分析了长春市产业发展的宏观环境及面临的机遇和挑战,并从三个方面有针对性地提出长春市产业转型的对策:第一,构建新型产业体系;第二,选择转型有效载体;第三,营造良好发展环境。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the economic construction of Changchun has made remarkable achievements, and the industry has been continuously transformed and upgraded. However, the historical accumulation of the traditional old industrial bases has to a certain extent delayed the transformation of the industrial structure and the upgrading of the leading industries in Changchun. However, in the period of the rise of the world new industrial revolution and the construction of the new industrial system in our country, the northeast economy has a precipitous recession, and it is urgent for Changchun to accelerate the industrial transformation. Most of the researches on the industrial transformation of Changchun are qualitative analysis or only aimed at a specific industrial sector, but there is little quantitative analysis of the industrial transformation and economic growth in the whole city. Starting with the theory of sustainable development, this paper combs the domestic and foreign research, redefines the connotation of industrial transformation, and analyzes the causes, influencing factors and main ways of industrial transformation. This paper discusses the interaction mechanism between industrial transformation and regional economic growth. During the process of industrial development in the three stages of reform and opening up and deepening reform and opening up, the industrial transformation of Changchun has been going on slowly. It includes not only the adjustment of industrial structure from "213" to "231", but also the transformation of leading industries from automobile to automobile, agricultural products processing and rail passenger cars. At the same time, optoelectronic information, biomedicine, Six major strategic emerging industries, such as new energy, new materials, building materials and advanced equipment manufacturing, are developing rapidly, and the basic framework of the new industrial system has been preliminarily constructed. From the angle of industrial technology and industrial system, this paper analyzes the relationship between Changchun's industrial development and economic growth, and summarizes the characteristics of Changchun's industrial development: first, the industrial system is not perfect enough, The degree of economic correlation between industries within the industrial system is relatively low. Second, economic growth is excessively dependent on leading industries. Moreover, although automobile manufacturing, agricultural products processing industry and rail passenger cars are all leading industries, the internal structure is also seriously out of balance. Third, the industrial structure is still unreasonable, the correlation degree between the three industries is not high, the tertiary industry is still not developed, and it needs to be promoted. Based on a large number of basic data and multiple measurement models, we make detailed analysis and quantitative analysis on the industrial structure of Changchun, and analyze the relationship between the speed of industrial transformation, the dynamic factors, and the speed and quality of economic growth. The regression equation of industrial development and economic growth in Changchun is obtained by constructing a multivariate linear regression model. It is found that the output value elasticity of secondary industry in the growth of GDP is the highest. Finally, based on theoretical and empirical research, This paper probes into the problems and causes of Changchun's industrial development, analyzes on the macro environment, opportunities and challenges of Changchun's industrial development, and puts forward the countermeasures of Changchun's industrial transformation from three aspects: first, Build a new industrial system; second, choose the effective carrier of transformation; third, create a good development environment.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F127

【相似文献】