基于灰色理论的我国战略性新兴产业关联发展研究

发布时间：2018-03-01 07:41

本文关键词： 战略性新兴产业产业关联灰色理论　出处：《上海工程技术大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：战略性新兴产业关系着一个国家未来经济的发展方式,是产业发展的核心和基础。金融危机的影响和环境资源危机的加重,促使我国必须加快产业的优化和升级,因此如何建成一批产业链完善,创新能力强的战略性新兴产业,不断扩大产业规模和关联度,是推动产业结构转型升级、调整经济发展方式的重要措施。对于战略性新兴产业关联发展问题的探索,有利于我国战略性新兴产业更好、更快的发展。由于我国战略性新兴产业的数据指标不完善、统计口径不确定,大多数学者对于战略性新兴产业关联发展的研究主要停留在定性分析角度,对于产业关联问题缺乏定量分析。产业关联发展必须通过一定的要素变量来实现,不同的指标在产业内的权重水平,既能反应不同要素在产业内的分配情况,又能体现不同产业对于要素需求的相关性问题。因此,从不同要素在产业内的权重方面来全面分析战略性新兴产业关联发展问题具有重要意义。本文共有七章。第一章为绪论,介绍了本文选题的相关背景及研究意义,并且在国内外研究综述的基础上,阐述了本文研究的主要内容与结构路线,指出了本文的创新点。第二章为本文的相关理论,介绍了战略性新兴产业、产业关联、灰色关联等理论的概念及特征,引入了相关的分析模型,最后本文对相关理论进行了述评。第三章介绍了世界主要国家战略性新兴产业的发展规划、发展概况。同时指出对我国发展战略性新兴产业的重要启示。强调了相关产业政策的重要作用,以及小微企业在产业发展中的特点。第四章主要介绍了我国战略性新兴产业的发展环境与我国在战略性新兴产业方面的科技投入,同时也指出了政策资金的重要作用,最后总结了我国战略性新兴产业发展的基本特征。第五章在以往研究的基础上,建立了我国战略性新兴产业关联发展的指标体系。并且利用德尔菲法,建立了关于五个一级指标、十一个二级指标的我国战略性新兴产业关联发展研究指标体系,并分别计算各自权重。同时,引入熵值赋权法,对我国战略性新兴产业在各指标下的权重进行计算。第六章主要介绍了灰色关联理论的相关性质,介绍了几种常用的灰色关联模型并进行评价,研究了灰色关联序的敏感性问题。最后,利用灰色理论模型对我国战略性新兴产业关联发展问题,进行了实证研究。借助权重来表征系统行为,利用熵值赋权法的权重结果作为灰色关联模型的参考序列,德尔菲法权重结果作为比较序列,对我国战略性新兴产业各子产业进行灰色关联分析,构建灰色关联模型,计算各子产业的权重序列与参考序列的关联度,得到相应的关联序,并对我国战略性新兴产业关联发展研究的实证结果进行分析。第七章对我国战略性新兴产业关联发展问题,提出本文的对策建议。指出我国战略性新兴产业的发展应当注重各产业之间的融合,并认为产业政策应当与产业发展阶段相匹配。另外,本文认为科技创新、金融市场、产业融合等方面对我国战略性新兴产业关联发展问题都具有十分重要的作用。
[Abstract]:The relationship between strategic emerging industry development mode of a country's economic future, is the core and foundation of industrial development. Increasing the impact of the financial crisis and environmental crisis, prompting China must speed up the optimization and upgrading of the industry, so how to built a complete industrial chain, strong innovation ability of strategic emerging industry, expanding industry the scale and degree of association, is to promote the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure, an important measure to adjust the mode of economic development. To explore the Association for the development of strategic emerging industries, is conducive to China's strategic emerging industry better and faster development. Because the data index of China's strategic emerging industry is not perfect, the statistical uncertainty for research association the development of strategic emerging industries most scholars mainly focus on the qualitative analysis angle, the quantitative analysis of the lack of Industry Association industry association development. Must be realized by variable factors, the weight of different levels of indicators in the industry, not only react to different distribution in factor within the industry, but also reflects the different industries for correlation factor demand. Therefore, different from the weight factor in the industry level in a comprehensive analysis of the problems related to the development of strategic emerging industries is of great significance. This paper consists of seven chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, introduces the background and significance of this topic related research foundation, and research at home and abroad, expounds the main contents of this paper and the structure of the route, pointed out the innovation of this paper. The second chapter is the theory of this article, introduced. Strategic emerging industries, industry association, the concept and characteristics of grey correlation theory, introduced the analysis model, finally this paper gives a review of related theories. The third chapter introduces the world The general situation of the development of community planning, major national strategic emerging industry development. At the same time, pointed out the important enlightenment of the development of strategic emerging industries of our country. To emphasize the important role of relevant industrial policies, in the industrial development and the characteristics of Small and micro businesses. The fourth chapter mainly introduces the development environment of China's strategic emerging industries in China in terms of strategic emerging industries investment in science and technology, but also pointed out the important role of policy funds, finally summarizes the basic characteristics of China's strategic emerging industry development. Based on the previous study in the fifth chapter, establishes the index system of China's strategic emerging industry association development. And using the Delphi method, was established on the five one class index, eleven level two indexes of China's strategic emerging industry association development research index system, and calculate their weight. At the same time, the introduction of entropy weighting method, The weight of China's strategic emerging industries under each index were calculated. The sixth chapter mainly introduces the related properties of grey relational theory, introduces several commonly used grey correlation model and evaluate the sensitivity, studies the problem of grey incidence order. Finally, by using the grey theory model of China's strategic emerging industry development association and the empirical research. By means of weight characterization of system behavior, weights using entropy method as a result of the reference sequence of gray correlation model, Delphi weight as a result of comparison, the gray correlation analysis of China's strategic emerging industries sub industry, constructing the grey correlation model, correlation calculation and reference weight sequence the sequence of each sub industry, get the corresponding relationship, and empirical research on the development of China's strategic emerging industry association analysis of the results of the seventh chapter. On the issue of China's strategic emerging industry association development, countermeasures and suggestions are put forward in this paper. It is pointed out that the development of China's strategic emerging industry should focus on the integration between the various industries, and that industrial policy should match the stage of industrial development. In addition, this paper argues that the scientific and technological innovation, financial market, industrial integration and other aspects play an important role on the issue of China's strategic emerging industry development association.

【学位授予单位】：上海工程技术大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F276.44

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