安徽省房地产业投资效率的统计研究

发布时间：2018-04-05 17:05

本文选题：房地产业　切入点：投资效率　出处：《安徽财经大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：在国民经济中,房地产业具有重要的地位,它是促进我国经济发展的基础产业之一。房地产业的健康发展可以保证国民经济的稳定发展,也有助于保障人民房屋需求。房地产业投资效率为评价房地产业资源配置水平提供了依据,通过对安徽省房地产业投资效率进行研究,可以对安徽省房地产业资源配置情况有所了解,分析出安徽省房地产业投资效率整体水平及地区之间存在的差异。本文在构建房地产业投资效率评价指标体系时,不仅考虑房地产企业对房地产业的投入和产出,也考虑了政府对房地产业的投入和产出,符合我国对房地产业经济活动的界定,使得房地产业投资效率评价指标体系进一步完善。首先,对安徽省及其地级市房地产业投资现状进行分析。然后,以安徽省16个地级市为样本,选取2011—2014年相关指标数据,运用主成分分析方法对投入指标和产出指标分别进行主成分分析,提取主成分,并计算其主成分得分,将主成分得分变换为正值后的数据作为投入指标和产出指标的数据。其次,利用BCC模型和Malmquist指数模型对安徽省地级市房地产业投资效率分别进行静态评价和动态评价。结果说明安徽省整体房地产业投资效率水平不高,只有合肥市房地产业投资效率在这4年中始终处于较高水平,其他地级市房地产业投资效率均有所波动;安徽省房地产业投资效率呈现明显的地理分布特征,安徽省南部地区房地产业投资效率水平较高,北部地区较低;2011—2014年,安徽省房地产业投资效率水平有所下降;房地产业技术进步水平对安徽省房地产业投资效率的提高具有重要影响。本文还分析了影响房地产业投资效率的因素,并建立了影响房地产业投资效率的Tobit模型,进行了实证分析。结果说明城市化水平对安徽省房地产业投资效率具有显著的正影响,金融发展对安徽省房地产业投资效率具有显著的负影响,房地产业规模对安徽省房地产业投资效率的影响虽然不显著,但是仍然有一定的正影响,经济增长对安徽省房地产业投资效率的影响不显著。最后,将实证结果进行总结,并从房地产企业和政府两个主体出发,给出提高安徽省房地产业投资效率的政策建议。
[Abstract]:In the national economy, the real estate industry has an important position, it is one of the basic industries to promote the economic development of our country. The healthy development of real estate industry can guarantee the stable development of the national economy, but also helps to protect the people's housing needs. Provide the basis for the investment efficiency of real estate industry level resource allocation evaluation of real estate industry based on the research of Anhui Province, the real estate investment efficiency, we can understand the real estate industry of Anhui province resources allocation, analyze the differences between the efficiency of investment in real estate industry of Anhui province and the overall level of the region. Based on the construction of the real estate investment efficiency evaluation index system, considering not only the real estate business of the real the input and output, also consider the input and output of the government of the real estate industry, in line with China's definition of economic activity in the real estate industry, the real estate investment efficiency evaluation To further improve the index system. First, the investment analysis of the present situation of Anhui province and prefecture level city real estate industry. Then, in 16 cities in Anhui Province as the sample, select the relevant indicators data from 2011 to 2014, using the principal component method of input and output index respectively for principal component analysis, principal component extraction, and the calculation of principal component scores, the scores of principal components transform positive data as input index and output index data. Secondly, using BCC model and Malmquist index model of Anhui Province real estate investment efficiency of different static and dynamic evaluation. Results show that the investment efficiency of the overall level of the real estate industry in Anhui province high efficiency, only the investment of real estate in Hefei in the past 4 years has been in high level, other real estate cities industry investment efficiency have fluctuation; Anhui Province Real Estate Investment Capital efficiency has a distinct geographical distribution characteristics, higher investment efficiency level of real estate industry in southern Anhui Province, the northern region is relatively low; from 2011 to 2014, decreased in Anhui Province real estate investment efficiency; the real estate industry has an important impact on technology progress level of investment efficiency of real estate industry in Anhui Province to improve in this paper. We analyzed the factors affecting the efficiency of investment in the real estate industry, and the establishment of the Tobit model on the investment efficiency of the real estate industry, has carried on the empirical analysis. The results show that the city level has the efficiency of investment in Anhui Province, the real estate industry is significant, financial development has a significant negative impact on the efficiency of investment in real estate industry of Anhui province the real estate industry, affecting the efficiency of the scale of investment in the real estate industry in Anhui province is not significant, but still have certain influence, influence the economic growth of Anhui Province Real Estate investment efficiency No significant. Finally, the empirical results are summarized, and from the two main bodies of real estate enterprises and governments, the policy recommendations to improve the investment efficiency of Anhui real estate industry are given.

【学位授予单位】：安徽财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F299.23

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