浙江城市化进程与流通产业发展的互动性研究

发布时间：2018-05-30 12:27

本文选题：浙江 + 城市化进程　；参考：《浙江工商大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：城市化是人类社会发展到一定阶段的必然产物,我国六十多年的城市化进程,尤其是改革开放以来的三十多年,波澜壮阔、成就斐然。世界银行在《2020年的中国》这一研究报告中指出,中国正在经历两个转变,即从指令性经济向市场经济转变和从农村社会向城市、工业社会的转变。21世纪更是城市化大发展的世纪,前世界银行首席经济学家、诺贝尔经济学奖获得者斯蒂格利茨说到21世纪影响世界进程和改善世界面貌有两件事：“一是美国高科技产业的发展,二是中国的城市化进程。”党的十八大报告提出“坚持走中国特色新型工业化、信息化、城镇化、农业现代化道路。”可以预计,在未来相当长的时间内,中国城市化将迎来新的发展机遇。如何把握城市化在经济发展不同阶段的源动力,并且通过不同的措施推进这些因素的发展,直接关系未来中国城市化的健康推进。在城市化进程方兴未艾的同时,流通产业作为第三产业的重要组成部分,伴随着中国经济的发展、城市化进程的推进,也得到了快速发展,并且必将在中国未来城市化进程中发挥更大的作用。本文从流通产业发展的视角切入,探索探寻浙江城市化进程影响因素基础上研究二者互动发展关系。本文首先对国内外大量的文献进行梳理,界定研究对象为浙江城市化进程与商贸流通产业,二者是紧密相连的两个概念。城市的产生源自商品交换,交易效率提高导致了城市形成。通过产业结构演进规律所反映的三次产业对经济发展贡献的变化,揭示流通产业发展在城市化进程中的重要意义,从理论分析的角度总结了流通产业与城市化之间的内在联系,商业贯穿于整个城市化的发展,集聚与规模的壮大导致的企业集中催生了劳动力的集中,而人口的集中为第三产业的发展提供了条件,而对于工业化的中后期,商贸流通业在国民经济中的比重逐步上升,为工业化和城市化提供了基础条件和服务环境,赋予了城市化“市”的意义,并探索二者间的相关机理。随后对2012年的浙江省各地区的截面数据进行城市化影响因素的回归分析,检验得出工业化是现今影响浙江省城市化率的最主要因素,选取相应指标对浙江省1978年至2012年的城市化率与商贸流通业进行实证检验,在格兰杰因果检验中仅表现为单向的关系,即商贸流通业的发展并未对城市化的进程构成格兰杰原因,这与理论分析存在一定出入。并且对比分析了典型代表国家的城市化历程,以及列举大量相关数据进行比较,结果发现我省流通产业的发展不仅落后于发达国家更是落后于发展中国家。最后在重新认识互动发展这一问题的基础上,着重以流通产业对城市化的发展提出对策建议。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is the inevitable outcome of the development of human society to a certain stage. China's urbanization process of more than 60 years, especially since the reform and opening up more than 30 years, magnificent achievements. According to the World Bank's China 2020 study, China is undergoing two transformations: from a mandatory economy to a market economy and from a rural society to a city. The transformation of industrial society. The 21st century is the century of great development of urbanization. The former chief economist of the World Bank, Nobel laureate Stiglitz said there are two things that affect the world and improve the world in the 21st century: "one is the development of American high-tech industry, the other is the urbanization of China." The report of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) proposed that "adhere to the road of new industrialization, informatization, urbanization and agricultural modernization with Chinese characteristics." It can be expected that China's urbanization will usher in new development opportunities for a long time to come. How to grasp the source power of urbanization in different stages of economic development and how to promote the development of these factors through different measures will directly affect the healthy progress of urbanization in China in the future. While urbanization is in the ascendant, circulation industry as an important part of the tertiary industry, along with the development of China's economy, the advancement of urbanization process, has also been rapid development. And will certainly play a greater role in China's future urbanization process. From the perspective of the development of circulation industry, this paper probes into the influence factors of urbanization process in Zhejiang Province and studies the relationship between them. This paper firstly combs a large number of literatures at home and abroad, and defines the research object as Zhejiang urbanization process and trade circulation industry. The two concepts are closely linked. The generation of cities originates from the exchange of commodities, and the improvement of trade efficiency leads to the formation of cities. Through the changes of three industries' contribution to economic development reflected by the evolution law of industrial structure, the significance of circulation industry's development in the process of urbanization is revealed, and the internal relationship between circulation industry and urbanization is summarized from the angle of theoretical analysis. Business runs through the development of the whole urbanization. The concentration of enterprises caused by agglomeration and scale leads to the concentration of labor force, while the concentration of population provides the conditions for the development of the tertiary industry. The proportion of commercial circulation industry in the national economy is rising step by step, which provides the basic conditions and service environment for industrialization and urbanization, endows the meaning of "city" of urbanization, and probes into the related mechanism between the two. Then, the regression analysis of urbanization influencing factors was carried out on the cross-section data of Zhejiang Province in 2012. The results show that industrialization is the most important factor that affects the urbanization rate in Zhejiang Province. This paper selects the corresponding indicators to test the urbanization rate and trade circulation in Zhejiang Province from 1978 to 2012, and shows a one-way relationship in the Granger causality test. That is, the development of trade circulation does not constitute Granger reason for the process of urbanization, which is different from theoretical analysis. It also compares the urbanization process of typical representative countries and enumerates a large number of relevant data. The results show that the development of circulation industry in our province lags behind not only developed countries but also developing countries. Finally, on the basis of rethinking the problem of interactive development, the author puts forward countermeasures and suggestions on the development of urbanization by circulation industry.
【学位授予单位】：浙江工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F299.27;F727

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