外商直接投资对河北省第二产业影响研究

发布时间：2018-06-08 13:50

本文选题：外商直接投资 + 第二产业　；参考：《河北经贸大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：当前国际经济形势复杂多变，国内经济下行压力依然存在，劳动力、原材料、运输等各项成本不断上涨，均对河北省利用外资带来不利影响。但中国具有吸引外资的综合优势，仍是全球最具吸引力的投资目的地之一，河北省又面临京津冀协同发展的大好机遇，对吸引国内外知名企业投资，刺激外资增长能够产生积极影响。河北省是工业大省，第二产业实际利用外商直接投资额占比70%以上，在全球经济危机及中国经济增速放缓的背景下，河北省化解过剩产能、调整产业结构也正在进行中，研究外商直接投资对河北省第二产业发展产生的积极作用与负面影响，努力保持稳定的外商直接投资金额的流入，并有效引导外资流向对促进河北省经济持续、健康发展有重要意义。外商直接投资对河北省第二产业影响直接体现在第二产业增加值及就业人数方面，本文采用1995-2012年河北省外商直接投资、第二产业增加值、就业人数三个时间序列数据，构建向量自回归模型对变量进行计量分析。研究结果表明，河北省第二产业就业人数能在很大程度上影响外商直接投资流入，第二产业增加值的增长并不一定能够带动外商直接投资增加，第二产业增加值和就业人数的结合能够对吸引外商直接投资流入产生明显促进作用，而外商直接投资对河北省第二产业增加值及就业人数具有一定带动作用，但并不显著。在当前严峻的经济形势及环保压力下，河北省需充分考虑环境因素，运用科学有效的引资政策，结合当地发展优势，不断吸引具有高新技术的跨国公司，鼓励其将资金投向研发设计等价值链高端，，而且应当逐步引导部分劳动密集型外商直接投资流向省内发展相对落后地区，以促进就业，拉动当地经济发展。
[Abstract]:At present, the international economic situation is complex and changeable, and the downward pressure of domestic economy still exists. The rising costs of labor, raw materials, transportation and so on, all of which have a negative impact on the utilization of foreign capital in Hebei Province. However, China is still one of the most attractive investment destinations in the world because of its comprehensive advantages in attracting foreign capital. Hebei Province also faces a good opportunity to cooperate with Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei to invest in well-known enterprises at home and abroad. Stimulating foreign investment growth can have a positive impact. Hebei Province is a big industrial province, and the secondary industry actually uses more than 70% of the foreign direct investment. Under the background of the global economic crisis and the slowdown of China's economic growth, Hebei Province is also in the process of eliminating excess production capacity and readjusting its industrial structure. This paper studies the positive and negative effects of foreign direct investment on the development of the secondary industry in Hebei Province, tries to maintain a steady inflow of foreign direct investment, and effectively guides the flow of foreign capital to promote the sustained economic development of Hebei Province. The impact of foreign direct investment on the secondary industry of Hebei Province is directly reflected in the added value of the second industry and the number of employed people. This paper adopts the foreign direct investment of Hebei Province from 1995 to 2012, and the added value of the second industry. Based on three time series data of employment population, a vector autoregressive model is constructed to analyze the variables. The results show that the number of employment in the secondary industry of Hebei Province can greatly affect the inflow of foreign direct investment. The increase of the added value of the second industry does not necessarily lead to the increase of foreign direct investment. The combination of the added value of the second industry and the number of people employed can obviously promote the inflow of foreign direct investment. Foreign direct investment (FDI) has a certain driving effect on the added value and employment of the secondary industry in Hebei Province, but it is not significant. Under the severe economic situation and the pressure of environmental protection, Hebei Province should take environmental factors into full consideration. Using scientific and effective investment policies and combining local development advantages, we will continue to attract multinational companies with high and new technologies and encourage them to invest their funds at the high end of the value chain, such as R & D and design. Moreover, some labor-intensive foreign direct investment should be directed to the backward regions in order to promote employment and promote the local economic development.
【学位授予单位】：河北经贸大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F832.6;F427

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