基于SD模型的煤炭资源型城市城镇化发展与产业转型研究:以徐州市沛县为例

发布时间：2018-06-12 10:49

本文选题：煤炭资源型城市 + 城镇化　；参考：《中国矿业》2017年05期

【摘要】：城镇化是现代化的重要标志,它是一个综合概念,不仅包括人口向城镇的集聚、城镇人口比例的上升和农村人口比例的下降,也包括国民经济中农业比例的下降和二、三产业份额的增长以及生产要素向城镇的聚集。资源型城市由于依靠单一的资源开发模式,造成三次产业结构失衡、产业链条短、产品单一,因此在城镇化的进程中具有其特殊性。本文借助于系统动力学模型,将传统城镇化研究与煤炭资源型城市产业转型纳入统一框架综合分析,以徐州市沛县为例进行实证研究,得出城镇化率与第三产业产值占GDP的比重具有同步变化趋势的结论,为产业转型政策创新和城镇化发展方向提供定量参考和决策依据。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is an important symbol of modernization. It is a comprehensive concept, which includes not only the agglomeration of population into cities and towns, the increase of urban population proportion and the decline of rural population ratio, but also the decline of agricultural proportion in the national economy. The growth of the share of the three industries and the agglomeration of production factors to the cities and towns. Resource-based cities have their own particularities in the process of urbanization because of their unbalance of industrial structure, short industrial chain and single product due to their dependence on a single mode of resource development. With the help of system dynamics model, this paper analyzes the traditional urbanization research and the industrial transformation of coal resource-based cities into the unified framework, and takes Peixian County of Xuzhou City as an example to carry out an empirical study. It is concluded that the urbanization rate and the proportion of tertiary industry output value in GDP have the same changing trend, which provides a quantitative reference and decision basis for the innovation of industrial transformation policy and the development direction of urbanization.
【作者单位】：中国矿业大学环境与测绘学院;
【基金】：校级大学生创新计划项目资助(编号:X1029015175) 国土资源部公益性行业专项经费项目资助(编号:201211050)
【分类号】：F299.27;F426.21

【相似文献】