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广东省区际产业转移与环境污染——基于21个地级市面板数据双重差分的实证研究

发布时间:2018-08-15 13:39
【摘要】:本文利用广东省21个地级市2003-2013年的面板数据,采用双重差分的方法检验了广东省2008年"双转移"政策的污染转移效应。研究发现,广东区际产业转移的污染转移效应与政府产业政策导向密切相关。政府只明令禁止东西两翼及粤北山区承接污染水资源的产业。相对于珠三角地区,东西两翼及粤北山区在2008年后工业废水的排放总量和排放强度均显著下降,但工业废气的排放总量和排放强度均显著增加,工业烟尘的排放总量和排放强度也在一定程度上有所提高。这种污染转移效应并没有随着时间推移而减弱。不同区域的效应也有所差异,其中粤东污染转移效应最强,江门、肇庆和惠州三市次之,粤西第三,粤北污染转移效应则不显著。机制分析表明,产业转移显著增加了东西两翼及粤北山区工业生产,工业生产又使东西两翼及粤北山区的污染物排放发生相应变化。本文对中国方兴未艾的区际产业转移具有启示意义,如何在产业转移中保护承接地的生态环境是亟待解决的问题。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data from 2003 to 2013 in 21 prefectural cities in Guangdong Province, the double difference method is used to test the pollution transfer effect of the "double transfer" policy in Guangdong Province in 2008. It is found that the pollution transfer effect of industrial transfer in Guangdong is closely related to the industrial policy orientation of the government. The government only forbids east-west and northern Guangdong mountain areas from polluting water resources. Compared with the Pearl River Delta region, the total discharge and intensity of industrial waste water decreased significantly after 2008, but the total emission and intensity of industrial waste gas increased significantly. The total emission and emission intensity of industrial dust are also improved to some extent. This pollution transfer effect has not diminished over time. The effect of pollution transfer was the strongest in eastern Guangdong, followed by Jiangmen, Zhaoqing and Huizhou, the third in western Guangdong, and the less significant in northern Guangdong. The mechanism analysis shows that the industrial transfer significantly increases the industrial production of the east and west wings and the northern Guangdong mountain area, and the industrial production causes the corresponding change of pollutant emission from the east and west wings and the northern Guangdong mountain area. This paper has enlightening significance to the rising regional industrial transfer in China. How to protect the ecological environment in the industrial transfer is an urgent problem to be solved.
【作者单位】: 华南师范大学经济与管理学院;
【分类号】:X321;F127


本文编号:2184367

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