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山西省新型城镇化与产业结构升级的互动发展研究

发布时间:2018-09-15 05:30
【摘要】:产业结构升级能通过经济发展、劳动力转移等途径影响城镇化的发展,而城镇化又可以通过刺激消费需求、完善基础设施建设等途径实现产业结构升级。因此研究城镇化与产业结构升级具有十分重要的意义。而山西省当前处于经济结构调整和实现产业结构升级的关键阶段,山西省过度依赖煤炭、化工、冶金的经济发展模式,不能使经济健康稳定的发展;而今在产能过剩的大背景下,更是暴露了山西省产业结构不合理的问题,因而需要调整产业结构,实现产业结构升级。虽然城镇化与经济发展密切相关,但是过去城镇化建设过程中忽略了人口、环境、社会发展等方面的协调的发展,一味地追求城镇化率的提高,因而在城镇化建设中出现了许多的问题,因此需要从新型城镇化的角度研究城镇化与产业结构升级互动发展,从而有利于新型城镇化建设和实现产业结构升级。首先,本文以新型城镇化与产业结构升级互动发展为立足点,通过明确新型城镇化的概念,分析了新型城镇化与产业结构升级互动发展的作用机理,以为本文的实证分析提供理论依据。其次,本文对山西省2002-2014年之间的产业结构现状进行了梳理,并且与全国水平进行了对比分析;同时选取山西省11个地级市2002年-2014年的数据,通过从经济城镇化、社会城镇化、环境治理、人口城镇化、城乡统筹这五个方面构建新型城镇化的指标体系,然后利用熵权法计算出山西省各个地级市的新型城镇化综合发展水平,然后对11个地级市2002年-2014年的新型城镇化综合发展水平以及各个指标进行了进一步的分析;同时针对山西省新型城镇化与产业结构升级互动发展现状进行了分析。再次,本文根据测得的新型城镇化数据,建立计量模型对新型城镇化与产业结构升级的互动发展进行实证分析。此外为了保证本文结论的合理性,本文还进行了稳健性检验,稳健性检验结果显示各个变量的系数与模型(1)和模型(2)中的系数的大小存在着差异,但是影响系数的方向相同;虽然各个变量的显著性存在着差异,但是都通过显著性检验。最后,根据本文的研究结论,从实现产业结构升级与有利于建设新型城镇化的角度提出了相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:The upgrading of industrial structure can affect the development of urbanization through economic development and labor transfer, and urbanization can also upgrade industrial structure by stimulating consumption demand and improving infrastructure construction. In the key stage of adjusting and realizing the upgrading of industrial structure, Shanxi Province is too dependent on coal, chemical industry and metallurgical economic development mode to make the economy develop healthily and steadily; and now under the background of overcapacity, it has exposed the unreasonable problem of industrial structure in Shanxi Province, so it is necessary to adjust the industrial structure and upgrade the industrial structure. Although urbanization is closely related to economic development, in the past, the coordinated development of population, environment and social development was neglected in the process of urbanization construction, and the urbanization rate was pursued blindly. As a result, many problems appeared in the urbanization construction. Therefore, it is necessary to study urbanization and industrial clusters from the perspective of new urbanization. First of all, based on the interactive development of new urbanization and industrial structure upgrading, this paper analyzes the mechanism of interaction between new urbanization and industrial structure upgrading by clarifying the concept of new urbanization, and gives an empirical analysis of this paper. Secondly, this paper combs the status quo of industrial structure in Shanxi Province from 2002 to 2014, and makes a comparative analysis with the national level; at the same time, the data of 11 prefecture-level cities in Shanxi Province from 2002 to 2014 are selected, through the five aspects of economic urbanization, social urbanization, environmental governance, population urbanization, urban and rural overall planning. The index system of new-type urbanization is constructed, and then the comprehensive development level of new-type urbanization of all prefecture-level cities in Shanxi Province is calculated by entropy weight method. Then the comprehensive development level of new-type urbanization of 11 prefecture-level cities from 2002 to 2014 and various indicators are further analyzed. Thirdly, based on the measured new urbanization data, this paper establishes an econometric model to empirically analyze the interactive development of new urbanization and industrial structure upgrading. In addition, in order to ensure the rationality of this conclusion, this paper also conducts a robustness test, robustness test results show that each change. The coefficient of quantity is different from that of model (1) and model (2), but the direction of influence coefficient is the same. Although the significance of each variable is different, it passes the significance test. Finally, according to the conclusion of this paper, it is put forward from the angle of realizing the upgrading of industrial structure and advancing the construction of new urbanization. Relevant policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】:山西财经大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F121.3;F299.27

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