基于产业链理论的我国钢铁产业的安全性研究

发布时间：2018-11-14 14:50

【摘要】：钢铁是一国工业基础性原料，其产业安全涉及到一国经济全局的战略性安全。自从1996年我国首次突破钢铁年产量亿吨级以后，我国已经成为世界第一大产钢国。但同时，我国钢铁产业也迎来了国内外各方面的挑战与压力。目前，我国钢铁产业链上游原材料铁矿石价格居高不下，增加了钢铁行业的生产成本。钢铁产业链的下游建筑业和制造业的需求减弱增加了我国钢材的销售难度。因此，我国钢铁产业的利润空间逐渐缩小，产业安全受到严重的威胁。在这样的背景下，以产业链理论为基础对我国钢铁产业的安全性进行研究有着重要的意义。本文从基本理论出发，在对产业安全、产业链和我国钢铁产业链的理论进行概述后分别对我国钢铁产业链上、下游的现状进行分析，同时探讨了其对我国钢铁安全的影响。其次，为了直观地反映我国钢铁产业的安全性，在对我国钢铁产业的现状进行分析后，本文建立一系列指标，运用SPSS软件以及因子分析方法考察我国钢铁行业1995年－2012年是否安全，然后做出评价，得出其产业目前的安全水平。最后，对我国钢铁产业链的整体安全性进行分析。通过理论与实证分析得出如下结论：第一，我国钢铁产业链上游铁矿石价格过高，产业处于危险期。第二，钢铁产业自身由于技术水平落后、产品质量较差等原因，处于由不安全向安全过渡的阶段。第三，我国钢铁产业链下游受到建筑业发展放缓以及制造业自主创新能力落后的影响，也仅仅处于中等安全期。总之，我国钢铁产业链整体处于比较危险的阶段。最后，，文中对改善我国钢铁产业链的安全性提出一些建议。
[Abstract]:Iron and steel is the basic raw material of industry in a country, and its industrial safety involves the strategic safety of a country's economy as a whole. China has become the largest steel producer in the world since 1996, when the annual output of iron and steel exceeded 100 million tons for the first time. But at the same time, China's iron and steel industry also ushered in domestic and foreign challenges and pressures. At present, the iron ore price in the upstream of China's iron and steel industry chain is high, which increases the production cost of iron and steel industry. The weakening demand of the construction and manufacturing industries in the downstream of the iron and steel industry chain has increased the difficulty of steel sales in China. Therefore, the profit space of China's iron and steel industry gradually shrinks and industrial safety is seriously threatened. Under this background, it is of great significance to study the safety of China's iron and steel industry on the basis of industrial chain theory. Based on the basic theory, this paper summarizes the theories of industry safety, industrial chain and China's iron and steel industry chain, and analyzes the present situation of China's iron and steel industry chain, and discusses its influence on our country's iron and steel safety at the same time. Secondly, in order to reflect the safety of China's iron and steel industry directly, after analyzing the present situation of China's steel industry, this paper establishes a series of indicators. SPSS software and factor analysis were used to investigate the safety of China's iron and steel industry from 1995 to 2012, and then to evaluate the safety level of the industry. Finally, the overall safety of China's iron and steel industry chain is analyzed. Through theoretical and empirical analysis, the following conclusions are drawn: first, iron ore prices in the upper reaches of China's iron and steel industry chain are too high, and the industry is in a dangerous period. Second, the steel industry itself is in the stage of transition from unsafe to safe due to the backward technical level and poor product quality. Third, the downstream of China's iron and steel industry chain is affected by the slow development of the construction industry and the backward capacity of independent innovation in the manufacturing industry, and it is only in a moderate safety period. In short, China's iron and steel industry chain as a whole is in a more dangerous phase. Finally, some suggestions are put forward to improve the safety of China's iron and steel industry chain.
【学位授予单位】：沈阳工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.31

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