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健康投资的产业结构效应:来自OECD等国家的宏观证据

发布时间:2018-12-12 16:41
【摘要】:在"未富先病"以及"健康中国"的背景下,文章从产业结构出发,通过使用世界银行数据库和佩恩表1995-2011年百余个国家的面板数据,研究了健康投资行业的发展对经济结构的影响,以期为当下中国转型经济结构的时代诉求提供参考。研究结果显示:首先,发展健康投资行业有助于增加服务业就业人口比重,并且私人健康投资对增加服务业就业人口比重的影响系数大于公共健康投资;其次,相对于公共健康投资,私人健康投资对第二产业增加值的挤出效应更有限;第三,发展健康服务业,尤其是公共健康事业将加快经济结构转型速度。综上所述,发展健康产业对推进产业结构转型具有积极意义,但如何在政策效果和可能的阻力之间进行权衡还需要政策制定者的慎重考虑。
[Abstract]:Under the background of "not being rich first" and "healthy China", this paper starts from the industrial structure, through the use of the World Bank database and Payne table 1995-2011 more than 100 countries panel data, This paper studies the influence of the development of health investment industry on the economic structure in order to provide a reference for the times of China's transition economic structure. The results show that: firstly, the development of health investment industry helps to increase the proportion of service employment population, and the impact coefficient of private health investment on increasing the proportion of service sector employment population is greater than that of public health investment; Secondly, compared with public health investment, private health investment has a more limited effect on the added value of secondary industry. Third, the development of health service industry, especially public health enterprise, will speed up the economic restructuring. To sum up, the development of health industry has a positive significance in promoting the transformation of industrial structure, but how to balance the policy effect and possible resistance still needs the careful consideration of policy makers.
【作者单位】: 北京大学国家发展研究院;重庆工商大学经济学院;
【分类号】:F113.1

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