湖南省旅游产业经济效应实证分析.pdf

  本文关键词：湖南省旅游产业经济效应实证分析，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。

网友wz_198614近日为您收集整理了关于湖南省旅游产业经济效应实证分析的文档，希望对您的工作和学习有所帮助。以下是文档介绍：分类号学校代码】Q曼生2密级——学号至QQ璺】墨Q至QQ踅湖南省旅游产业经济效应实证分析The Empirical Analysis ofHunanTourist EconomicEcono r7、t。ectl研究方向旅游规划与开发湖南师范大学学位评定委员会办公室2 01 1年5月摘要近lO年来,湖南省旅游业发展较快,在国民经济中的作用日益明显,不仅增加了国民经济收入,而且带动了相关产业的发展。然而截止目前,关于湖南省旅游经济效应定量的详细研究相对较少。因此本文对湖南省旅游产业经济效应的实证分析,不仅对湖南省旅游业自身的健康发展具有重要现实意义,而且将会促使旅游业在其国民经济发展中发挥出最大作用。本文首先梳理了国内外旅游经济效应的研究现状、概念、相关内容及评价方法,在此基础上确立了本文的研究思路及方法。其次以湖南省为研究范围,在湖南省旅游发展现状分析和现有统计资料的基础上,综合运用线性回归、灰色关联及灰色预测模型等定量分析方法,借助EViews、DPS、Excel等统计分析工具,分别计算并分析了湖南省旅游产业的收入效应、就业效应、创汇效应和产业关联效应等。最后,结合湖南省实际情况,对制(来源：[])约其经济效应增长的主要因素做了分析,并在湖南省旅游产业经济效应状况及制约因素分析的基础上,提出了促使湖南省旅游产业经济效应增长的对策。研究结果表明:湖南省旅游经济的直接收入效应和间接收入效应都非常显著,对国民经济贡献呈逐年上升趋势;创汇效应比较明显,但是受外界环境影响较大,发挥不稳定;就业效应和产业关联效应还未得到完全发挥。根据分析,制约其经济效应发挥的主要因素有:旅游产品结构倾斜、交通瓶颈及壁垒并存、旅游消费结构不合理、旅游企业的整体竞争力不强等。关键词:湖南省;旅游产业;经济效应—]ABSTRACTIn recent ten years,Hunan’S tourism has been developing much fast,the role of which has e increasingly apparent in the nationaleconomy.Not only be it increased the national economic e,anddrived the d(来源：[])evelopment of relevant industries.However,at present thereis relatively few research on the tourist economy effect.Therefore,theempirical analysis,exploring the tourist economy effect,not only helpprovide important pratical significance for the healthy development ofHunan tourism,but also promote the tourism to play out maximum effectin its national economic development.At first,this article reviews the study status,concept,relative contentsand eval(来源：[])uation method of the tourist economy effect from home andabroad,and establishs the main study idea and method of the paper.Atsecond,in the research。scope of Hunan province,it focus on calculatingthe e effect,employment effect,foreigh exchange effect,industrialrelation effect and SO on,based on the present tourism developingsituation and the existing statistics,by using of different methods andtools,including the linear regression,Grey,Prediction mod(来源：[])els analysis,and Eviews,DPS,Excel.After analyzing the tourist economy effect ofHunan province,at last,the bines the actual situation toanalyze the main factors to restrict the grouth of the economic effect.Based on the above information,the strategies areput forward toprecipitate the grouth of the economic effect.The result shows that both the direct and indirect e effect arevery significant and showing arapid trend year by year;the foreignIIexchang(来源：[])e effect is much obvious,but with unstable state;employmenteffect is not SO obvious;industrial relmion effect has not been fullyutilized.According to the analysis,the main factors to restrict itseconomic effect include Tourism product structure tilt,Transportationbottlenecks and barriers coexist,Tourism consumption structureunreasonable,Weak petitiveness of tourist enterprise,and SOO

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  本文关键词：湖南省旅游产业经济效应实证分析，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。