大连长兴岛北岸作业区通航综合安全评价研究

发布时间：2018-01-04 07:20

本文关键词：大连长兴岛北岸作业区通航综合安全评价研究　出处：《大连海事大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着经济全球化的迅速推进,以及国家地区间自由贸易区的商定,国际贸易得到前所未有的发展。据统计,海洋运输承担了 80%以上的国际贸易。每个沿海国家都非常重视海洋运输业的发展,力争在海运业占有一席之地。特别是随着船舶向大型化、专业化的方向发展。与海运业相配套的港口码头规模也正趋于大型化、专业化。每个港口水域有其自身的特点,我们须建立综合安全评价模型对该水域进行综合评价,以得出港口水域的安全度,进而提出相应的风险控制措施。本文针对该特定水域以及结合相关研究,首先对大连长兴岛北岸作业区水域进行了基础资料介绍,包括水域的自然条件和具体的港区情况;其次,依据相关参考文献,结合专家访谈给出的指导建议筛选重点风险要素,从人、船、环境、管理四个方面建立了水域通航安全评价指标体系,并对指标体系相应元素标准的确定进行分析;然后建立层次分析(AHP)集对分析模型,求取该水域评价指标权重,以及对该水域进行通航综合安全评价。在评价过程中,对能够获取数据的指标,采用定量的方法进行等级标准量化;对于无法获取数据的指标,从定性角度结合专家调查进行等级标准量化。接着,依据大连长兴岛北岸作业区水域实际情况,对10万吨级船舶通航水域和30万吨级船舶通航水域分别进行综合安全评价,得出相应的评价结果"较安全"。最终,可以得出大连长兴岛北岸作业区水域通航综合安全评价的结果是"较安全"。通过分析模型计算得出的结果,提出针对该水域提高通航安全的保障措施和意见。力求船舶在该水域的航行安全,避免意外事故的发生。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of economic globalization and the agreement of free trade area between countries and regions, international trade has been developed unprecedented. According to statistics. Maritime transport has undertaken more than 80% international trade. Every coastal country attaches great importance to the development of marine transport industry, striving to occupy a place in the shipping industry. The development of specialization. The scale of port wharf matching with shipping industry is becoming larger and more specialized. Each port has its own characteristics. We need to establish a comprehensive safety assessment model to evaluate the water area, in order to get the safety degree of the port waters, and then put forward the corresponding risk control measures. Firstly, the basic data of the operation area on the north coast of Dalian Changxing Island are introduced, including the natural condition of the water area and the concrete situation of the port area. Secondly, according to the relevant references, combined with the guidance of expert interviews to screen key risk factors, from the human, ship, environment, management four aspects of water navigation safety evaluation index system. And the determination of the standard of the corresponding elements in the index system is analyzed. Then the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) set pair analysis model is established to obtain the weight of the evaluation index and the comprehensive navigation safety evaluation of the water area. In the process of evaluation, the indexes that can obtain the data are analyzed. The quantitative method is used to quantify the grade standard; For the indicators that can not get the data, from the qualitative point of view combined with the expert investigation to carry on the grade standard quantification. Then, according to the Dalian Changxing Island north coast operation area water area actual situation. The comprehensive safety evaluation of the navigable waters of 100,000-ton ships and the navigable waters of 300,000-ton ships has been carried out respectively, and the corresponding evaluation results have been obtained, which are "safer". It can be concluded that the result of comprehensive evaluation of navigable safety in the north coast of Dalian Changxing Island is "relatively safe". This paper puts forward the safeguard measures and suggestions for improving navigation safety in this water area, and strives for the safety of navigation of ships in the waters so as to avoid the occurrence of accidents.
【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：U698

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