江西省承接产业转移对经济增长效应分析

发布时间：2018-01-08 16:23

本文关键词：江西省承接产业转移对经济增长效应分析　出处：《江西财经大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：2013年江西省政府从产业、开放、创新、区域四个方面制定了的全面升级战略,希望通过承接东南沿海地区的产业转移来促进本省经济的发展。而伴随着当前第四次国际产业的转移浪潮,产业由发达国家向发展中国家转移趋势明显,以及由于我国东南沿海地区产业面临着迫切转型升级的需要,部分产业向内陆地区转移成为必然。本文研究产业转移效应对江西经济增长的影响。首先,本文从国际产业转移浪潮和国内产业转移趋势背景下引出所研究的问题,并对论文相关事项进行简单阐述,之后对相关国内外文献进行整理归纳。从产业转移如何促进经济增长进行理论分析,认为产业转移通过技术溢出效应、就业扩大效应和资本积累效应三个路径间接推动着经济的增长。其次,本文立足于前人的研究,以Cobb-Douglas生产函数为基础,构建面板数据回归模型,选取具有代表性的指标,并对这些指标的样本数据描述性统计分析。其中,样本空间是从2006年至2014年江西省11个市的相关面板数据。最后,本文运用上述构建的计量模型进行分析,第一阶段通过单根检验、协整分析、Hausman检验等分析技术实证分析确定产业转移具有明显的优化效应、扩大效应和发展效应。第二阶段通过模型进行OLS面板回归分析技术溢出效应、就业扩大效应和资本积累效应对经济增长的影响程度。最终研究结果显示:江西承接产业转移与江西经济增长具有长期稳定的正相关关系,江西省承接产业转移的技术溢出效应、就业扩大效应和资本积累效应对江西经济增长有作用显著。基于以上研究,笔者认为江西应抓住历史机遇,制定产业转移规划和相应的区域协调机制,建设好承接产业转移的载体。加强基础设施建设,提高产业配套能力。通过优化承接环境,强化服务意识,提高公共服务效率,为江西承接国内外产业转移打下坚实的基础,促进江西经济更好更快地增长。
[Abstract]:In 2013 the government of Jiangxi province from the industry, opening, innovation, four aspects of regional developed a comprehensive upgrade strategy, hope to promote the development of the economy of the province through the southeast coastal areas to undertake industrial transfer. And with fourth times the current wave of international industrial transfer, industry from developed countries to developing countries and the trend is clearly the industrial area in the southeast coast of China is faced with the urgent need of transformation and upgrading, industrial inland transfer becomes inevitable. This paper studies the industrial transfer effect to the economic growth of Jiangxi. Firstly, this paper studies the transfer wave and leads to the transfer of the domestic industry trend under the background of the international industry, and the related issues on the paper then, the relevant literature at home and abroad was summarized. From the industrial transfer to promote economic growth through theoretical analysis, industrial transfer The technology spillover effect, employment effect and capital accumulation effect three indirectly promote the economic growth. Secondly, based on the previous research, the Cobb-Douglas production function as the basis, to construct the panel data model, selecting representative indicators, and sample data descriptive statistical analysis of these norms. Among them, the sample space is from the panel data of 11 cities from 2006 to 2014 in Jiangxi province. Finally, this paper uses econometric models built above analysis, the first stage through the unit root test, cointegration analysis, empirical analysis of technology Hausman test has obvious optimization effect analysis to determine the transfer of industries, expanding the effect and development of second stages. The OLS panel through the model regression analysis of technology spillover effect, employment effect and capital accumulation effect on economic growth. The final degree of study The results show that Jiangxi has to undertake the long-term stability of the positive correlation between industrial transfer and economic growth in Jiangxi, undertake the technology spillover effect of industrial transfer in Jiangxi Province, employment rate and capital accumulation effect on Jiangxi's economic growth has a significant function. Based on the above research, the author believes that Jiangxi should seize the historical opportunity to develop the industrial transfer and the corresponding planning the regional coordination mechanism, the construction of a good carrier of undertaking industrial transfer. To strengthen infrastructure construction, improve industrial supporting capacity. By optimizing the undertaking environment, enhance service awareness, improve the efficiency of public services, for Jiangxi to undertake industrial transfer at home and abroad to lay a solid foundation, Jiangxi to promote better and faster economic growth.

【学位授予单位】：江西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F127

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