北京市文化创意产业与区域经济发展的互动关系研究
本文关键词:北京市文化创意产业与区域经济发展的互动关系研究 出处:《首都经济贸易大学》2017年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
更多相关文章: 北京市 文化创意产业 区域经济 互动 向量自回归
【摘要】:当今时代知识经济迅猛发展,以创意为核心,融合了科技、知识、智慧、文化在内的文化创意产业的发展成就令人瞩目。目前,文化创意产业作为经济增长的新动力,增长态势蓬勃,影响范畴日益深远,很多发达国家和地区已将其作为主导产业。文化创意产业的异军突起,得到了政府与学者的广泛关注。在文化创意产业对区域经济发展的贡献得到重视的同时,很多人忽视了其发展背后的区域经济环境因素及二者存在的相互作用关系。北京市文化创意产业的发展在全国范围内首屈一指,厘清文化创意产业与区域经济发展之间的互动关系及互动机理非常必要。通过机理研究可知,文化创意产业对区域经济的贡献表现在促进经济增长、为区域经济提供新的动力、缓解就业压力、优化产业结构;区域经济发展通过文化环境、人力资本、法制环境、需求结构等方面对文化创意产业做出影响。在理论基础之上,对北京市文化创意产业与北京市经济增长进行实证分析。通过对北京市文化创意产业产值与北京市人均GDP的动态计量分析,测度二者之间的贡献度,验证二者相辅相成的互动关系。通过协整检验得出北京市文创意产业与其经济增长之间的关系存在长期性,由协整方程式可知,北京市文化创意产业增加1个单位能够推动经济增长0.52个单位,北京市经济增长1个单位能够推动文化创意产业增长1.9个单位。由该结果可知,北京市经济增长对当地文化创意产业的推动作用比其文化创意产业对北京市经济增长的贡献更加明显;通过格兰杰检验得出北京市文化创意产业与其经济增长至少在2年时间内互为因果;通过建立VAR模型,借助脉冲响应函数与方差分解可知北京市文化创意产业与其经济增长互相影响的路径与影响程度。通过脉冲响应函数可以看出,北京市文化创意产业对北京市经济增长的影响有一定波动性,但从长期来看具有正向推动作用;北京市经济增长对文化创意产业的影响由负到正,从长期来看正向推动作用强烈。由方差分解可以看出,北京市经济增长对文化创意产业的发展影响随着时间推移不断强烈,经济增长对文化创意产业变动的贡献率能达到60%以上,远高于文化创意产业对自身的影响。通过理论与实证研究,根据理论基础、作用机理以及实证分析的结果对如何推动北京市文化创意产业与区域经济进行良好互动提出发展策略。
[Abstract]:Nowadays, the rapid development of knowledge economy, with creativity as the core, the integration of science and technology, knowledge, wisdom, culture and other cultural creative industry development achievements are remarkable. As a new driving force of economic growth, cultural creative industry is booming, and the scope of influence is increasingly far-reaching. Many developed countries and regions have taken it as the leading industry. At the same time, the contribution of cultural and creative industries to regional economic development has been paid attention to. Many people ignore the regional economic and environmental factors behind their development and the interaction between the two. The development of Beijing's cultural and creative industries is second to none in the whole country. It is necessary to clarify the interaction and mechanism between cultural and creative industries and regional economic development. Through the mechanism study, we can see that the contribution of cultural and creative industries to regional economy is reflected in the promotion of economic growth. To provide new impetus for regional economy, relieve employment pressure and optimize industrial structure; Regional economic development through the cultural environment, human capital, legal environment, demand structure and other aspects of cultural and creative industries to make an impact on the theoretical basis. Through the dynamic econometric analysis of Beijing's cultural and creative industry output value and Beijing's per capita GDP, this paper measures the contribution between the two. Through the cointegration test, we can conclude that there is a long-term relationship between the creative industry and its economic growth in Beijing, which can be seen from the co-integration equation. The increase of 1 unit in cultural and creative industries in Beijing can promote economic growth of 0.52 units, and 1 unit in economic growth in Beijing can promote the growth of cultural and creative industries by 1.9 units. The contribution of Beijing's economic growth to the local cultural and creative industries is more obvious than that of its cultural and creative industries. Through Granger test, it is concluded that the cultural and creative industries and their economic growth in Beijing are causality and causality in at least two years. Through the establishment of VAR model, with the help of impulse response function and variance decomposition, we can know the path and influence degree of the interaction between Beijing cultural and creative industries and their economic growth, which can be seen by pulse response function. The impact of Beijing's cultural and creative industries on Beijing's economic growth is fluctuating, but in the long run it has a positive impact on Beijing's economic growth. The impact of Beijing's economic growth on the cultural and creative industries is from negative to positive, and in the long run, the positive promotion is strong, which can be seen from the decomposition of variance. Beijing's economic growth has a strong impact on the development of cultural and creative industries with the passage of time, and the contribution rate of economic growth to the changes of cultural and creative industries can reach more than 60%. Far higher than the cultural and creative industries on their own impact. Through theoretical and empirical research, according to the theoretical basis. The mechanism and the results of empirical analysis on how to promote the good interaction between Beijing's cultural and creative industries and regional economy put forward development strategies.
【学位授予单位】:首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:G124;F127
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