长春市轨道交通对周边住宅价格的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-16 09:20

本文关键词：长春市轨道交通对周边住宅价格的影响研究　出处：《吉林大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：进入21世纪以来,中国城镇化进程速度加快,城市规模不断扩大,大量人口涌入城市,导致城市人口数量大幅度增加。经济得到发展的同时,也带来了更多的问题,交通堵塞、交通事故频发以及土地用地紧张等问题都对21世纪城市的发展提出了新的挑战,不断完善和优化城市交通系统是解决问题的关键。近年来城市轨道交通以其运输效率高、运输量大、速度快、环保和安全等众多优点成为城市中最受欢迎的公共交通方式,其不仅能提升居民的出行便捷性,更能提升周边房地产价值、区域价值,带动区域经济发展,具有很强的正外部性。然而轨道交通带来的这部分增值并没有被应用于轨道交通的后续发展中,目前,我国的轨道交通项目很多处于亏损运营。因此,通过研究城市轨道交通对周边住宅价格的影响,能够评估轨道交通的外部效益,将外部效益内部化,有效缓解政府财政压力和改善轨道交通盈利模式,具有很强的现实意义。本文将从定性和定量两个方面对长春市轨道交通对周边住宅价格的影响进行分析。在第三章,首先运用GIS软件生成长春市轨道交通和新建住宅的空间分布图,根据空间分布的演化图和新建住宅数量统计图,分析轨道交通对住宅价格的影响。结合前文分析结果,从轨道交通对住宅价格影响的区位效应、经济效应和消费者心理预期三个方面具体分析了长春市轨道交通对住宅价格的影响机制。在第四章,通过收集长春市轨道交通2、3号线2010-2016年周边2km范围内的新建住宅数据,分别建立特征价格模型,运用SPSS软件进行回归分析,根据得到的参数结果分析轨道交通对住宅价格的影响程度,并将轨道交通2号线和3号线的参数结果进行对比,能够更加清晰的观察到轨道交通在建设中和运营中对住宅价格影响规律的差异。最后得到结论:(1)轨道交通始终对周边住宅具有正向影响;(2)轨道交通在建设中和运营中对住宅价格具有不同的影响规律;(3)轨道交通在开工年份和开通年份两个时间点对住宅价格影响最大。根据分析结果,对长春市政府提出了政策建议。最后,对前文两方面的分析结果进行了总结,并指出了本文的研究不足之处,同时也对今后的研究进行了展望。
[Abstract]:Since 21th century, the process of urbanization in China has been speeding up, the scale of cities has been expanding, and a large number of people have poured into cities, which has led to a large increase in the number of urban population and economic development at the same time. Also brought more problems, traffic jams, frequent traffic accidents and land and land shortage and other issues have posed new challenges to the development of the city in 21th century. Improving and optimizing the urban transportation system is the key to solve the problem. In recent years, urban rail transit has high transport efficiency, large volume of transport, and fast speed. Environmental protection and safety have become the most popular public transport in the city, which can not only enhance the convenience of residents, but also enhance the value of real estate, regional value and regional economic development. There is a strong positive externality. However, this part of the value-added brought by rail transit has not been applied to the subsequent development of rail transit. At present, many rail transit projects in China are operating at a loss. Through the study of the impact of urban rail transit on the surrounding housing prices, it can evaluate the external benefits of rail transit, internalize the external benefits, effectively alleviate the financial pressure of the government and improve the profit model of rail transit. This paper will analyze the impact of Changchun rail transit on the surrounding housing prices from the qualitative and quantitative aspects. In the third chapter. First, using GIS software to generate the Changchun urban rail transit and new residential space distribution map, according to the spatial distribution of the evolution of the map and the number of new housing statistics. This paper analyzes the impact of rail transit on housing prices. Combined with the previous analysis results, from the impact of rail transit on housing prices location effect. Economic effects and consumer psychological expectations of three aspects of the specific analysis of Changchun rail transit on housing price impact mechanism. In chapter 4th, through the collection of Changchun rail transit 2. The data of newly built houses in the range of 2 km from 2010 to 2016 on Line 3 are analyzed by using SPSS software. The influence of rail transit on housing price is analyzed according to the obtained parameter results, and the results of parameters of line 2 and line 3 of rail transit are compared. It can more clearly observe the difference of the influence of rail transit on housing price in construction and operation. Finally, we can get the conclusion that rail transit always has a positive impact on the surrounding housing. (2) Rail transit has different influence on housing price in construction and operation; Rail transit has the biggest impact on housing price at two time points: the year of construction and the year of opening. According to the analysis results, the paper puts forward policy recommendations to Changchun municipal government. Finally. This paper summarizes the analysis results of the above two aspects, points out the shortcomings of this paper, and looks forward to the future research.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.23;F572.88

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