山东省经济差异分解及其影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-01-18 04:18

本文关键词：山东省经济差异分解及其影响因素分析　出处：《山东大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：区域经济差异在经济发展中是全世界各个国家普遍都存在的一种现象,因此许多人发现这种现象会导致问题的产生与矛盾的激化,阻碍了地区经济发展。在经济迅速发展和转型期间中国所面临的区域经济差异问题非常严峻,除了三大地带间与省际间的差异外,作为国民经济基础单位的县域来说,量多面广,其经济差异性的问题也更加突出,因此本文也把县域作为研究单元,目的是更全面的研究差距性问题。本文分为七个部分。第一部分是绪论,介绍了研究背景。第二部分论述与评述区域经济差异的相关理论。第三部分简述对区域非均衡发展的各种测度方法、区域经济增长的收敛理论及其作用机制,最后对样本的选取和数据来源做了介绍。第四部分主要利用Theil指数及其分解公式和集中指数两个测度方法,结合山东省县域数据进行了差异性分析。第五部分介绍了影响山东县域差异性的影响因素,并利用Theil指数和集中指数对影响因素进行具体分析。第六部分实证分析部分。首先介绍了研究方法、变量的选取及模型的建立。基于面板数据,对山东各省2004到2014年经济发展水平和影响因素的相关数据,运用相关计量经济学的方法进行检验与分析。第七部分是结论和政策建议部分。本文的创新点在于:目前关于区域经济差异性研究中,大部分研究的空间单位主要是针对三大地带、省际或市域,专门针对某个省,研究文献都是关于研究区域差异性的宏观变化情况,并没有计算每个县域差异性数据。另外,本文利用Theil指数及其分解公式,把式子中GDP值换成固定资产投资额、年末从业人数、财政支出总额、出口额和普通中学生在校人数,根据计算出的数据变动图来直观判断这些解释变量的差异性变化,同时,也采用学者们在分析区域差异性时较少用到的集中指数方法分析山东省县域差异性。本文最后再结合采用面板数据模型,分别对影响山东省县域经济增长和县域经济发展差异性的因素进行回归,根据实证结果分析影响差异的因素,另外这个结果会与文中利用Theil指数和集中指数对影响因素的分析结合起来进行分析,以求得到更全面和准确的结果,并对此结果提出更有意义的建议。
[Abstract]:Regional economic difference is a common phenomenon in every country all over the world, so many people find that this phenomenon will lead to the emergence of problems and the intensification of contradictions. In the period of rapid economic development and transition, China is faced with a very serious problem of regional economic differences, except the differences between the three major zones and between provinces. As the basic unit of the national economy, the county area has a wide range of quantity, and the problem of its economic difference is more prominent. Therefore, this paper also takes the county area as the research unit. This paper is divided into seven parts. The first part is the introduction. This paper introduces the research background. The second part discusses and comments on the relevant theories of regional economic differences. The third part briefly describes the various measures of regional unbalanced development, the convergence theory of regional economic growth and its mechanism of action. Finally, the selection of samples and data sources are introduced. Part 4th mainly uses Theil exponent and its decomposition formula and two measure methods of concentrated index. Based on the county data of Shandong Province, the paper analyzes the difference. 5th part introduces the influencing factors of the county area difference in Shandong Province. And use Theil index and concentration index to analyze the factors. 6th part of the empirical analysis. First introduced the research methods, variables selection and the establishment of models. Based on panel data. The relevant data of economic development level and influencing factors in Shandong provinces from 2004 to 2014. Using the relevant econometric methods to test and analyze. 7th part is the conclusions and policy recommendations. The innovation of this paper is: the current research on regional economic differences. Most of the research space units are mainly aimed at the three major zones, inter-provincial or urban areas, specifically for a province, the research literature is on the study of regional differences of the macro changes. In addition, this paper uses Theil index and its decomposition formula to change the value of GDP into fixed assets investment, the number of employees at the end of the year, and the total amount of financial expenditure. Export volume and the number of ordinary middle school students in school, according to the calculated data change chart to directly judge the variance of these explanatory variables, at the same time. It also uses the concentrated index method which is seldom used by scholars to analyze the regional differences in Shandong Province. Finally, this paper combines the panel data model. The factors that influence the difference of county economy growth and county economy development in Shandong Province are regressed, and the factors that affect the difference are analyzed according to the empirical results. In addition, this result will be combined with the analysis of influencing factors by using Theil index and concentration index in this paper, in order to obtain more comprehensive and accurate results, and put forward more meaningful suggestions for the results.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127

【相似文献】