内蒙古新巴尔虎左旗矿山企业投资项目技术经济分析

发布时间：2018-02-08 15:48

本文关键词： 技术经济评价净现值法内部收益率法敏感性分析　出处：《河北地质大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着我国经济近三十年来的持续发展,工业及经济实力显著增强。据统计,中国已发展成为世界第二大经济体以及世界重要的矿产品和能源进口国。在这样的经济大环境下,如何更为合理、更为有效率的对矿产资源进行利用,使之可以更好地为我国经济建设服务,成为了我国经济发展及国家建设等方面越来越重要的课题。同时,矿床技术经济评价在矿产资源的开发利用过程中,如何更好的提高矿产勘查投入经费的使用效率,确定矿山项目的真实价值并合理利用,帮助主管部门正确的制定开发建设规划,是矿床技术经济评价研究和探索的趋势。本文以内蒙古新巴尔虎左旗矿山项目为实际案例,通过收集同类矿山资料及现有矿床技术经济评价领域的相关研究成果,来确定相关研究方向。经过矿区实地资料收集,对该地区的地质特征、矿产资源储量有了全面掌握,并结合当前市场行情以及发展趋势来设计该矿山项目的开发方案,确定该矿山项目的各项技术经济评价指标并进行计算、分析以及评价。本文通过对该矿山项目的盈利能力、清偿能力等方面来分析该矿山的经济效益,评估其是否具有投资价值。同时,在采用净现值、内部收益率和投资回收期等财务评价指标进行评估之外,引入实物期权法对该方案进行评估,从另一个角度对矿山项目的价值进行分析和讨论。在论文的风险性分析部分,将采用了盈亏平衡分析、敏感性分析对影响经济效益的不确定因素进行评估,并选取最主要的不确定因素来进一步进行蒙特卡洛模拟,以用来评估分析该投资项目的风险性情况。最后将对该项目的技术经济评价分析结论进行综合评价并给出相应的对策建议。
[Abstract]:With the sustained development of China's economy in the past three decades, the industrial and economic strength has increased significantly. According to statistics, China has developed into the second largest economy in the world and an important importer of mineral products and energy in the world. In such an economic environment, How to make use of mineral resources more reasonably and efficiently has become more and more important in China's economic development and national construction. In the process of exploitation and utilization of mineral resources, how to improve the utilization efficiency of mineral exploration investment, determine the true value of mine projects and make rational use of mineral resources, It is the trend of ore deposit technical and economic evaluation and exploration to help the department in charge to correctly formulate the development and construction plan. This paper takes the project of New Barhu left Banner Mine in Inner Mongolia as a practical case. Through collecting the similar mine data and related research results in the field of mineral deposit technical and economic evaluation, we can determine the relevant research direction. Through the field data collection of the mining area, we have a comprehensive grasp of the geological characteristics and reserves of mineral resources in this area. Combined with the current market situation and the development trend, the development plan of the mine project is designed, and the technical and economic evaluation indexes of the mine project are determined, calculated, analyzed and evaluated. This paper analyzes the economic benefit of the mine and evaluates whether it has investment value. At the same time, in addition to the use of financial evaluation indicators such as net present value, internal rate of return and investment recovery period, The real option method is introduced to evaluate the project, and the value of mine project is analyzed and discussed from another angle. In the part of risk analysis of the paper, the break-even analysis is adopted. Sensitivity analysis assesses the uncertain factors that affect economic benefits, and selects the most important uncertain factors to further carry out Monte Carlo simulation. In order to evaluate and analyze the risk of the investment project, the conclusion of the technical and economic evaluation of the project will be comprehensively evaluated and the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions will be given.
【学位授予单位】：河北地质大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F426.1

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