库滋涅茨倒U假说的内蒙古验证

发布时间：2018-05-08 11:09

本文选题：城乡居民收入差距 + 城乡居民收入比　；参考：《内蒙古师范大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,内蒙古自治区经济快速发展,截止到2014年,内蒙古自治区生产总值为17770.19亿元,是1978年58.04亿元的306.2倍；2014年,内蒙古自治区人均生产总值为71046元,是1978年317元的224.1倍；2013年,内蒙古自治区城镇居民人均可支配收入是25496.7元,是1978年301元的84.7倍；2013年,内蒙古自治区农牧民人均纯收入是8596元,是1978年131元的65.6倍。可见,1978年以来,内蒙古自治区经济出现了高速发展的态势,人们生活水平取得了巨大的进步。但是在经济高速发展的同时,内蒙古自治区城乡居民收入差距也开始扩大,从差距的绝对数量上看,由1978年的170元扩大到2013年的16900.7元；从相对数量上看,内蒙古自治区城乡居民收入比由1978年的2.29扩大到2013年的2.97,泰尔指数由1978年的0.037扩大到2013年的0.0612,变异系数由1978年的0.39扩大到2013年的0.50。所以缩小内蒙古自治区城乡居民收入差距,促进内蒙古自治区经济更好更快发展具有重要的意义。国内外学者在研究经济增长与城乡居民收入差距库滋涅茨“倒U曲线”假说验证方面已经取得了巨大的成绩。本文在总结学者研究的基础上,借助《中国统计年鉴》、《内蒙古自治区统计年鉴》等数据,对内蒙古自治区经济增长与城乡收入差距进行了库滋涅茨“倒U曲线”假说验证。本文从内蒙古自治区城乡居民收入差距的现状入手,描述了改革开放以来内蒙古自治区经济增长的现状,城乡居民的收入现状以及城乡居民收入差距的现状。本文采用经济增长指标内蒙古自治区生产总值和人均生产总值。城乡居民收入差距指标采用城乡居民收入比、泰尔指数和变异系数。利用生产总值和人均生产总值分别与城乡居民收入比、泰尔指数和变异系数进行了库滋涅茨的内蒙古“倒U曲线”假说验证。结果表示,内蒙古自治区1978年至2014年的生产总值、人均生产总值分别与居民收入比、泰尔指数和变异系数之间均不存在库滋涅茨的“倒U曲线假说”关系,所以内蒙古自治区在1978年至2014年期间经济增长与城乡居民收入差距之间不存在库滋涅茨的“倒U曲线”假说关系。根据内蒙古自治区经济增长与城乡收入差距的变化趋势,本文进行了阶段性分析,分析了内蒙古自治区经济增长与城乡居民收入差距关系变化的原因,并根据分析的原因,提出了缩小内蒙古自治区城乡居民收入差距的建议。最后,对全文进行了归纳总结。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the economy of Inner Mongolia Autonomous region has developed rapidly. By 2014, the gross domestic product of Inner Mongolia Autonomous region was 1.777019 trillion yuan, 306.2 times that of 5.804 billion yuan in 1978. In 2014, the per capita gross domestic product of Inner Mongolia Autonomous region was 71046 yuan. In 2013, the per capita disposable income of urban residents in Inner Mongolia was 25496.7 yuan, 84.7 times that of 1978 301 yuan. In 2013, the per capita net income of farmers and herdsmen in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region was 8596 yuan, 65.6 times that of 1978. Visible, since 1978, the Inner Mongolia Autonomous region economy appeared the high-speed development situation, the people living standard has obtained the huge progress. However, with the rapid economic development, the income gap between urban and rural residents in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region has also begun to widen, from 170 yuan in 1978 to 16900.7 yuan in 2013 in absolute terms. The income ratio of urban and rural residents in Inner Mongolia increased from 2.29 in 1978 to 2.97 in 2013, the Tyr index increased from 0.037 in 1978 to 0.0612 in 2013, and the coefficient of variation increased from 0.39 in 1978 to 0.50 in 2013. Therefore, it is of great significance to narrow the income gap between urban and rural residents in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region and to promote better and faster economic development in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region. Scholars at home and abroad have made great achievements in the research of Kuznets' inverted U curve hypothesis between economic growth and income gap between urban and rural residents. On the basis of summing up the research of scholars, with the help of the data of China Statistical Yearbook and Inner Mongolia Autonomous region Statistical Yearbook, this paper verifies the hypothesis of Kuznets'"inverted U Curve" on the economic growth and urban-rural income gap in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region. Starting with the current situation of income gap between urban and rural residents in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region, this paper describes the present situation of economic growth, income situation of urban and rural residents and income gap between urban and rural residents in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region since the reform and opening up. This article adopts the economic growth index Inner Mongolia Autonomous region GDP and per capita GDP. The income gap between urban and rural residents was determined by the income ratio of urban and rural residents, the Thiel index and the coefficient of variation. Using the ratio of gross domestic product and per capita GDP to urban and rural residents' income, Tyr index and coefficient of variation respectively, the hypothesis of "inverted U curve" of Kuzniets' Inner Mongolia is verified. The results show that there is no "inverted U curve hypothesis" relationship between GDP, GDP per capita and income ratio, Tyr index and coefficient of variation of Inner Mongolia Autonomous region from 1978 to 2014, respectively. Therefore, there is no hypothetical relationship between economic growth and income gap between urban and rural residents in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region from 1978 to 2014. According to the changing trend of economic growth and urban-rural income gap in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region, this paper analyzes the reasons for the change of the relationship between economic growth and income gap between urban and rural residents in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region, and analyzes the reasons according to the analysis. Proposed to narrow the income gap between urban and rural residents in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region. Finally, the full text is summarized.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F124.7;F127

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