基于空间视角的内蒙古区域经济差异化研究

发布时间：2018-05-11 08:08

本文选题：区域经济 + 空间计量研究　；参考：《内蒙古财经大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：区域经济是国民经济体制中不能缺失的主要构成部分,区域经济的和谐发展是我国经济系统不断发展的基础条件。可是,区域间经济差异性在不停的增大,不但会造成区域间经济利益的冲突,还会给地区经济发展和社会安定造成恶劣的消极影响。伴着经济发展不平衡问题的愈演愈烈,区域经济已经是研究者们关注和探究的热点。研究者不同的视角和方法对中国的区域经济进行研究分析,发现普通研究方法忽略了区域单元之间的空间相互作用,而事实上空间单元之间通常都具备空间依赖作用。这种情况就导致一些模型估计有偏差不够精准。而空间计量方法则考虑了空间效应的影响因素,并把空间效应以空间权重的形式放入模型里进行分析,由于这个优势很多关于区域经济问题的文献都选用了空间计量研究方法。因此,空间计量方法成为了目前最热门的研究方法。然而很多区域经济文献都是关于中国省区的研究,很少是对省级以下单位进行研究,省区研究只能从整体上揭示某个省的经济状况,未深入的揭示市级及县区经济发展的过程。由于内蒙古区域经济差异的实证研究的相关文献资料是少之又少,因此文章利用空间计量软件Geoda和Matlab对内蒙古各旗县及各盟市进行更深入的探究。首先通过时间演化的研究,内蒙古区域经济绝对差异和相对差异都是逐步的扩大,特别是从2004年开始,区域经济差异呈迅猛上升的走势,同时经济差距的两级分化趋势越来越显著;通过空间视角的研究,基于102个旗县的人均生产值,通过构建空间分布图发现内蒙古中西县域经济水平远远高于东部内陆的旗县区,内蒙古区域间经济水平的差异化呈现出持续增大的现象;再次通过对内蒙古区域间经济发展的差异化进行探索性空间研究,构建Moran散点图和Lisa集群图,可以看出,内蒙古地区间经济发展水平呈现不一致性,而且形成了明显的东西经济差距化的格局,12盟市在经济发展方面表现出强烈的空间聚集性。总体来讲,内蒙古呈现出东部、中部和西部区域经济发展不平衡的格局;最后利用2005-2014年的经济数据来构建面板模型、空间截面模型和空间面板模型,对内蒙古12盟市经济发展的差异化进行实证研究,其结果是居民人均收入和工业化水平对经济发展具有积极的推动作用,金融存款高于金融贷款及储蓄较高的地域经济增长反而不高,而且由于财政收支结构的落后,导致财政支出抑制经济增长。近年来内蒙古经济高速的提升,可是内蒙古的区域经济并不是在共同协调的发展,各县域经济发展差距在不断扩大甚至有恶化的趋势。所以,对内蒙古区域经济差异化的探究不但能为内蒙古区域经济的发展提供理论依据和对策建议,而且有助于增强区域经济的综合实力,从而推动区域经济稳定发展。
[Abstract]:The regional economy is the main component of the national economic system, and the harmonious development of the regional economy is the basic condition for the continuous development of our country's economic system. However, the economic differences between regions are constantly increasing, which will not only cause conflicts of economic interests among regions, but also cause adverse negative effects on regional economic development and social stability. With the growing imbalance of economic development, regional economy has been the focus of attention and exploration by researchers. From different perspectives and methods of research and analysis of China's regional economy, it is found that the common research methods ignore the spatial interaction between regional units, but in fact, spatial units are usually spatially dependent. This situation results in some models with inaccurate estimates. The spatial measurement method takes into account the influence factors of the spatial effect, and puts the spatial effect into the model in the form of spatial weight. Because of this advantage, many literatures on regional economic problems have chosen the spatial econometric research method. Therefore, spatial measurement has become the most popular research method. However, many regional economic documents are about the study of China's provinces and autonomous regions, few of which are research on the units below the provincial level. The study of the provinces and districts can only reveal the economic situation of a province as a whole, but it does not reveal the process of the economic development of the cities and counties in depth. Because there is little literature on the empirical research on the regional economic differences in Inner Mongolia, this paper makes a deeper study of the flag counties and cities of Inner Mongolia by using the spatial measurement software Geoda and Matlab. First of all, through the study of time evolution, the absolute and relative differences of regional economy in Inner Mongolia are gradually expanded, especially since 2004, the regional economic differences have been rising rapidly. At the same time, the trend of two-level differentiation of economic gap is becoming more and more significant. Through the research of spatial perspective, based on the per capita production value of 102 flag counties, it is found that the economic level of East and West counties in Inner Mongolia is much higher than that in the inland counties of Inner Mongolia by constructing spatial distribution map. The difference of regional economic level in Inner Mongolia continues to increase. Thirdly, through the exploratory spatial study of the regional economic development in Inner Mongolia, we can see that the Moran scatter plot and the Lisa cluster map are constructed. The level of economic development in Inner Mongolia is not consistent, and an obvious economic disparity between east and west has been formed. In general, Inner Mongolia presents an unbalanced pattern of regional economic development in the eastern, central and western regions. Finally, the panel model, spatial cross-section model and spatial panel model are constructed by using the economic data from 2005 to 2014. An empirical study on the differentiation of economic development in 12 cities of Inner Mongolia shows that the per capita income of residents and the level of industrialization play a positive role in promoting economic development. The regional economic growth of financial deposits higher than that of financial loans and savings is not high, and due to the backward structure of fiscal revenue and expenditure, fiscal expenditure inhibits economic growth. In recent years, the economy of Inner Mongolia has been improving rapidly, but the regional economy of Inner Mongolia is not developing in a coordinated way, and the gap of economic development in various counties is widening and even worsening. Therefore, the study of regional economic differentiation in Inner Mongolia can not only provide theoretical basis and countermeasures for the development of regional economy in Inner Mongolia, but also help to strengthen the comprehensive strength of regional economy and promote the stable development of regional economy.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F127

【参考文献】