我国各省旅游专业化适应性研究

发布时间：2018-07-05 01:39

  本文选题：旅游专业化 + 经济增长　； 参考：《西南科技大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：在全球经济一体化发展态势下,旅游业作为一个新兴产业在快速发展,我国政府在2012年提出将旅游业作为我国经济增长的一个战略性支柱产业,此后我国相继有29个省份提出要建设旅游专业化大省,将旅游业作为振兴本省经济增长的支柱性产业,但是,我国各省在旅游资源分布和经济发展方面均存在很大的异质性,是否所有省份都适宜实施旅游专业化发展战略,这是一个具有现实意义的问题,本文将运用理论知识对此问题进行分析。本文首先运用计量经济学中格兰杰因果关系分析法对1990-2013年间我国旅游总收入和经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析,证明了短期内我国旅游业发展与经济增长之间的因果关系不明显,但是经济发展在促进旅游业发展的单向因果关系明显。随后,本文以我国30个省份(重庆市除外)作为研究对象,运用计量经济格兰杰因果关系分析法对1994-2013年间我国各省份的旅游外汇收入与地区经济增长之间的关系进行实证研究,这对解决我国哪些省份适应实施旅游专业化发展战略提供了理论依据,对优化我国各省份旅游专业化以及实现我国旅游业发展与经济增长之间协调发展具有重要的理论意义和实际意义。通过研究,本文认为我国有15个省份旅游外汇收入与经济增长之间存在因果关系,适应实施旅游专业化发展战略,有13个省份旅游外汇收入不是经济增长的因果关系,所以暂时还不适应实施旅游专业化发展战略,剩下的2个省份两者之间没有明显的因果关系。最后针对实证分析的结果提出我国各省份政府在实施旅游专业化发展战略时应该结合本省自身的特点制定适合自身旅游业发展的政策。
[Abstract]:With the development of global economic integration, tourism is developing rapidly as a new industry. In 2012, our government proposed that tourism should be regarded as a strategic pillar industry of China's economic growth. Since then, 29 provinces in China have proposed to build a major province of tourism specialization, and regard tourism as a pillar industry for revitalizing their economic growth. However, there is a great heterogeneity in the distribution of tourism resources and economic development in all provinces of our country. Whether it is appropriate for all provinces to implement the strategy of tourism specialization development is a question of practical significance. This paper will use theoretical knowledge to analyze this problem. This paper first uses the Granger causality analysis method in econometrics to analyze the relationship between total tourism income and economic growth in China from 1990 to 2013. It is proved that the causal relationship between tourism development and economic growth is not obvious in the short term, but the one-way causality between economic development and tourism development is obvious. Then, this paper takes 30 provinces (except Chongqing) as the research object, using the econometric Granger causality analysis method to study the relationship between the tourism foreign exchange income and the regional economic growth of the provinces in China from 1994 to 2013. This provides a theoretical basis for solving which provinces in China adapt to the implementation of the tourism specialization development strategy. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to optimize the tourism specialization in various provinces of China and to realize the harmonious development between tourism development and economic growth in China. Through the research, this paper holds that there is a causal relationship between tourism foreign exchange income and economic growth in 15 provinces of China, which is suitable for the implementation of tourism specialization development strategy, and tourism foreign exchange income is not the causality of economic growth in 13 provinces. Therefore, it is not suitable for the implementation of tourism professional development strategy for the time being, and there is no obvious causality between the remaining two provinces. Finally, according to the results of the empirical analysis, the author points out that the provincial governments should formulate policies suitable for their own tourism development in light of their own characteristics when implementing the tourism specialization development strategy.
【学位授予单位】：西南科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F259.27
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本文编号：2098353