台湾对外直接投资的经济效应研究
发布时间：2018-07-13 14:26
【摘要】：经济全球化使得各个国家和地区积极参与到了国际分工和交换之中,加快了商品、资本、技术以及信息的流动,推动了资源在全球的有效配置。跨国(地区)直接投资现成为推动世界经济增长和经济全球化的重要因素,由于像台湾这样的地区仅仅依靠自身的资源、资金、技术或市场就会使得自身的经济发展受限,因而引进来,走出去的国际化经营的道路就成为必然选择。所以对外直接投资就成为一个极其重要的手段。随着对外直接投资规模迅猛增长,其对于投资方本身的经济效应研究已经成为热点。对外直接投资对投资方的经济效应的影响主要是通过间接的方式产生,即通过一定的传导机制对进出口贸易,产业结构,就业水平等产生影响,进而对投资方的经济产生影响。本文在结合国内外研究的基础上,从投资方的角度来分析台湾对外直接投资的经济效应,分别从进口和出口两方面通过面板数据模型实证检验了台湾对外直接投资对贸易的影响,结果表明台湾对外直接投资具有明显的贸易创造效应,其中对大陆投资的贸易创造性最强；通过向量自回归模型实证检验了对外直接投资对产业结构调整的影响,结果表明对外直接投资是台湾产业结构调整的格兰杰原因,促进了台湾产业结构优化升级；通过建立计量模型并采用OLS的方法实证检验了对外直接投资对就业的影响,结果表明对外直接投资对台湾岛内就业负向影响很小,没有造成岛内产业空心化。最后在综合分析所有的实证结果得出结论,并给出了相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Economic globalization makes all countries and regions actively participate in the international division of labor and exchange, accelerate the flow of goods, capital, technology and information, and promote the effective allocation of resources in the world. Transnational (regional) direct investment has become an important factor in promoting world economic growth and economic globalization. Because regions like Taiwan rely solely on their own resources, capital, technology or market, their economic development will be restricted. As a result, the way to go out of the international operation has become an inevitable choice. So foreign direct investment has become an extremely important means. With the rapid growth of foreign direct investment (OFDI), the research on the economic effect of OFDI has become a hot topic. The influence of foreign direct investment on investors' economic effect is mainly produced by indirect means, that is, through certain transmission mechanism, it has an impact on the import and export trade, industrial structure, employment level and so on, and then has an impact on the investor's economy. On the basis of domestic and foreign studies, this paper analyzes the economic effects of Taiwan's foreign direct investment from the perspective of the investors. Through panel data model, the paper empirically tests the impact of Taiwan's foreign direct investment on trade from the aspects of import and export. The results show that Taiwan's foreign direct investment has obvious trade creation effect. The result shows that FDI is the Granger reason for the adjustment of Taiwan's industrial structure. It promotes the optimization and upgrading of Taiwan's industrial structure, and empirically tests the impact of FDI on employment by establishing econometric model and using OLS method. The results show that FDI has little negative impact on the employment in Taiwan. Did not cause the island industry hollow. Finally, all the empirical results are analyzed synthetically and the corresponding policy recommendations are given.
【学位授予单位】：湖南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F125
，
本文编号：2119685
[Abstract]:Economic globalization makes all countries and regions actively participate in the international division of labor and exchange, accelerate the flow of goods, capital, technology and information, and promote the effective allocation of resources in the world. Transnational (regional) direct investment has become an important factor in promoting world economic growth and economic globalization. Because regions like Taiwan rely solely on their own resources, capital, technology or market, their economic development will be restricted. As a result, the way to go out of the international operation has become an inevitable choice. So foreign direct investment has become an extremely important means. With the rapid growth of foreign direct investment (OFDI), the research on the economic effect of OFDI has become a hot topic. The influence of foreign direct investment on investors' economic effect is mainly produced by indirect means, that is, through certain transmission mechanism, it has an impact on the import and export trade, industrial structure, employment level and so on, and then has an impact on the investor's economy. On the basis of domestic and foreign studies, this paper analyzes the economic effects of Taiwan's foreign direct investment from the perspective of the investors. Through panel data model, the paper empirically tests the impact of Taiwan's foreign direct investment on trade from the aspects of import and export. The results show that Taiwan's foreign direct investment has obvious trade creation effect. The result shows that FDI is the Granger reason for the adjustment of Taiwan's industrial structure. It promotes the optimization and upgrading of Taiwan's industrial structure, and empirically tests the impact of FDI on employment by establishing econometric model and using OLS method. The results show that FDI has little negative impact on the employment in Taiwan. Did not cause the island industry hollow. Finally, all the empirical results are analyzed synthetically and the corresponding policy recommendations are given.
【学位授予单位】：湖南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F125
，
本文编号：2119685
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