land intensive utilization economic development co

  本文关键词：土地集约利用与经济发展关系的动态计量分析——以江苏省为例，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。

土地集约利用与经济发展关系的动态计量分析——以江苏省为例

DYNAMIC ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LAND INTENSIVE UTILIZATION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN JIANGSU PROVINCE

[1] [2] [3] [4]

ZHENG Hua-wei, ZHANG Rui, ZHANG Jun-feng, LIU You-zhao （College of Public Admistration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China）

南京农业大学公共管理学院,江苏南京210095

文章摘要：在测度经济发展与土地集约利用的基础上，运用动态计量经济模型探讨经济发展与土地集约利用的相互作用。研究结果表明：（1）经济发展与土地集约利用均为一阶单整序列；（2）经济发展与土地集约利用之间存在长期均衡关系，但短期内却存在失衡，短期波动向长期均衡趋近的调整幅度达到50．26％；（3）经济发展是土地集约利用的Granger原因，而反向关系得不到实证支持；（4）土地集约利用对来自经济发展的冲击响应强烈，经济发展的冲击对土地集约利用的解释水平达到了85％，而经济发展对来自土地集约利用的冲击响应较弱，土地集约利用的冲击对经济发展的解释水平仅为2％。因此，应有效转变经济发展方式，，加强土地利用监督管理，提高土地资源集约利用水平，不断提升土地资源对经济发展的保障能力。

Abstr：Based on measuring the degree of economic development and land intensive utilization, the paper explored the interactions between economic development and land intensive utilization by dynamic econo- metrics. The results showed that both of economic development and land intensive utilization were integrat- ed of order one. There existed equilibrium relationship between them in long term whereas things were dif- ferent in short term, and the range of short term equilibrium was close to long term equilibrium, which was 50.26 %. Grange causality test showed that economic development was the grange cause of land intensive u- tilization, but the opposite grange causality couldn＇t he proved by the empirical study. The response of land intensive utilization to economic development impulse was remarkable,and the economic development im- pulse could explain the change of land intensive utilization to a certain extent of 85%. The response of eco- nomic development to land intensive utilization impulse was weak,and the land intensive utilization impulse could explain the Change of economic development to a certain extent of only 2 %. Therefore,it was neces- sary to vigorously promote transformation of economic development mode, strengthen supervision and man- agement for land utilization, improve the land intensive utilization,and enhance the support capabilities of land resources for economic development.

文章关键词：

Keyword：:land intensive utilization economic development co-integration test impulse response vari-ance decomposition

课题项目：国家自然科学基金项目（71173112）;江苏省国土资源科技项目（201003,201026）;江苏省研究生培养创新工程项目（CXZZll-0690）

  本文关键词：土地集约利用与经济发展关系的动态计量分析——以江苏省为例，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。