中国对海上丝绸之路沿线主要国家直接投资的经济效应研究

发布时间：2018-09-06 09:16

【摘要】：国际直接投资是资本流动的主要方式,对东道国的经济产生广泛而又深远的影响。建设21世纪海上丝绸之路是中国旨在通过对外经济贸易和对外直接投资来实现自身与周边国家的利益最大化、谋求共同发展的战略抉择。本文研究主要包括以下内容,第一章导论阐述了论文的选题背景、研究意义和国内外研究动态等内容;第二章分析了21世纪海上丝绸之路战略实施背景及研究对象选择;第三章研究了中国对海上丝绸之路沿线主要国家直接投资的进展;第四章引入计量模型对东道国经济效应进行实证分析;第五章对中国和海上丝绸之路沿线主要国家双方提出对策建议。研究认为,中国对海上丝绸之路沿线主要国家直接投资数额近年来迅速增长,但存在着规模较小、产业结构不太合理、区域分布不均等问题,在经济效应上表现为:第一,中国对海上丝绸之路沿线主要国家直接投资对这些国家的GDP增长有促进效应。第二,中国对海上丝绸之路沿线主要国家直接投资对这些国家的贸易效应都是进出口创造性的,但是国家与国家之间、一个国家内部进口和出口效应差异明显。第三,中国对海上丝绸之路沿线主要国家的直接投资对这些国家的就业均具有正向创造效应,但是这种促进作用相对于经济增长、进出口等效应来说并不明显。第四,中国对海上丝绸之路沿线主要国家直接投资对不同的国家经济效应有所差别。针对分析结果,本文对中国和海上丝绸之路沿线主要国家双方提出了相应对策建议,希望能为双方能更好的参与到建设海上丝绸之路提供借鉴。
[Abstract]:International direct investment (FDI) is the main mode of capital flow, which has a wide and profound impact on the host country's economy. The construction of the maritime Silk Road in the 21st century is a strategic choice for China to maximize its interests and seek common development through foreign economic trade and foreign direct investment. The main contents of this paper are as follows: the first chapter introduces the background of the thesis, the significance of the research and the research trends at home and abroad, the second chapter analyzes the background of the implementation of the 21st century maritime Silk Road strategy and the choice of research objects. The third chapter studies the progress of China's direct investment in the main countries along the maritime Silk Road, the fourth chapter introduces the econometric model to analyze the economic effects of the host country. Chapter five puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to China and the main countries along the Silk Road. The study shows that China's direct investment in major countries along the maritime Silk Road has increased rapidly in recent years, but there are some problems such as small scale, unreasonable industrial structure and uneven regional distribution. The economic effects are as follows: first, China's direct investment in major countries along the maritime Silk Road has contributed to GDP growth in these countries. Second, the trade effects of China's direct investment on the main countries along the Silk Road are creative, but the import and export effects are different between countries. Third, China's direct investment in major countries along the maritime Silk Road has a positive creating effect on employment in these countries, but this promotion effect is not obvious relative to economic growth, import and export effects. Fourth, China's direct investment in major countries along the maritime Silk Road has different economic effects on different countries. In view of the analysis results, this paper puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions to China and the main countries along the Silk Road, hoping to provide reference for both sides to participate in the construction of the Maritime Silk Road.
【学位授予单位】：云南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F125.4

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