temporal evolution characteristics spatial regression

  本文关键词：海西经济区经济差异的空间计量分析，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。

海西经济区经济差异的空间计量分析

Spatial econometric analysis of regional economic disparity in strait economic zone

[1] [2]

XIE Cha-cha, ZHOU Qin （ School of Business, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, China）

宁波大学商学院,浙江宁波315211

文章摘要：以海西经济区152个县市为基本单元,综合运用传统的区域差异测度方法、ESDA、空间计量经济模型等方法,分析了2000—2013年海西经济区区域经济差异的时空动态演变及其影响因素。结果表明：1海西经济区经济的绝对差异总体呈不断扩大趋势,相对差异呈先增大后减小趋势,经济极化总体呈上升趋势。2海西经济区区域的空间正相关效应正在逐渐加强;LISA分析表明海西经济区的空间格局呈现出明显的“核心——边缘”结构,HH集聚区由福建省沿海向内陆壮大,LL集聚区呈片状稳定分布在闽粤和闽赣交界地。3 SEM模型的估计结果表明影响海西经济区经济发展差异的主要因素有产业结构、资本投入水平、城镇化率、对外开放程度、政府的宏观调控能力和交通基础设施等。

Abstr：Based on the economic development statistics of 152 counties in Strait Economic Zone,this article analyses the temporal dynamic evolution of the regional economy and its influencing factors by using traditional statistic indices, spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatial econometric model. The following results are obtained. First, since 2000, the absolute disparities of counties in Strait Economic Zone has constantly enlarged, the relative disparities have grown first and then decreased, and the trend of the polarization level of county economic development in Strait Economic Zone has slowly strengthened. Second, the space-related effects of Strait Economic Zone are gradually strengthened. The results of LISA reveal that not only the former rich cluster in the coastal region has expanded but also some new rich clusters emerged in inland region. There have long been significant poor areas in the junctions of provinces. Third, it uses spatial error model to find the aspects that affect the economy, that is, industrial structure, the level of capital investment, urbanization rate, the extent of opening, the government＇s macro-control ability and transport infrastructure.

文章关键词：

Keyword：:Strait Economic Zone regional inequality spatial-temporal evolution characteristics spatial regression

  本文关键词：海西经济区经济差异的空间计量分析，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。