中国对外贸易隐含碳测度及贸易低碳化路径研究

发布时间：2018-05-11 18:07

本文选题：隐含碳 + 贸易低碳化　；参考：《中南大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：低碳贸易是时下对外贸易研究的重要方向,也是低碳经济学在国际贸易方面拓展的一个比较新颖的应用研究领域。进入21世纪以来,经济贸易发展与气候环境变化成为全球焦点,中国高碳贸易模式与碳减排责任引起国际社会的强烈争议。为实现可持续发展,中国迫切需要探索贸易低碳化发展路径。本文先是在李嘉图模型和H-O模型中融入低碳理念,构建了低碳国际贸易理论,为低碳贸易研究提供理论基础；接着,通过对国际贸易活动、碳排放、低碳贸易壁垒之间相互影响的逻辑机理分析,推导得出我国高碳贸易的形成原理以及贸易低碳转型的必要性；再则,运用投入产出方法构建了中国进出口贸易隐含碳估算模型,对中国1987年、1990年、1992年、1995年、1997年、2002年、2005年和2007年这8年的进出口贸易隐含碳总体排放情况、分行业部门排放情况及完全碳排放强度进行了估算,得出中国进出口贸易隐含碳总体规模逐年上升,且由逆差变为顺差并加速扩大,进而从可量化角度论证了中国贸易的“高碳属性”；另一方面,从分行业部门角度来看,估算得出的完全碳排放强度则逐年下降,有利于我国贸易低碳化发展。最后,文章立足未来,提出了基于“国别低碳标准”和“全球低碳标准”下的两阶段中国贸易低碳化发展路径。
[Abstract]:Low-carbon trade is an important direction of foreign trade research nowadays, and it is also a relatively new applied research field of low-carbon economics in international trade. Since the 21st century, economic and trade development and climate change have become the global focus. China's high-carbon trade model and carbon abatement responsibility have aroused intense controversy in the international community. In order to achieve sustainable development, China urgently needs to explore the trade low-carbon development path. In this paper, the theory of low-carbon international trade is constructed by integrating the low-carbon theory into Ricardo model and H-O model, which provides the theoretical basis for the research of low-carbon trade, and then, through the international trade activities, carbon emissions, The logical mechanism of the interaction between low-carbon trade barriers is analyzed, and the formation principle of high-carbon trade in China and the necessity of low-carbon trade transformation are deduced. Furthermore, the implicit carbon estimation model of China's import and export trade is constructed by input-output method. This paper estimates the total implied carbon emissions of China's import and export trade in 1987, 1990, 1992, 1995, 1997, 2002, 2005 and 2007, as well as the emissions from different sectors and the intensity of total carbon emissions. It is concluded that the total scale of implied carbon in China's import and export trade has increased year by year, and has changed from deficit to surplus and accelerated expansion, thus proving the "high carbon attribute" of China's trade from a quantifiable point of view; on the other hand, from the perspective of subsector, The estimated total carbon emission intensity is decreasing year by year, which is beneficial to the development of low carbon trade in China. Finally, based on the future, the paper puts forward a two-stage development path of China's trade low-carbon based on "national low-carbon standards" and "global low-carbon standards".
【学位授予单位】：中南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F752;X196

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