农村劳动力流动与三次产业结构调整的内生性研究

发布时间：2018-01-01 04:00

本文关键词：农村劳动力流动与三次产业结构调整的内生性研究　出处：《中国农业资源与区划》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：[目的]劳动力是经济发展的重要元素之一,大量农村劳动力流动制约着社会经济的发展。自1978年改革开放以来,我国三次产业结构均进行着调整,而随着农业现代化的发展,导致大量农村劳动力外流,而这种外流受三次产业结构调整的影响,因此农村劳动力流动与三次产业结构调整存在很大的关联。[方法]为了探寻二者之间的关系,文章利用1978~2014年面板数据,通过GMM三阶段分析法将农村流动劳动力流入各产业的比重变化,与三次产业结构比的变化进行描述性的对比分析,并建立联立方程及模型。[结果]研究表明:大量农村劳动力脱离土地,从第一产业流向第二、三产业;在我国进行产业结构优化升级和社会不断发展的过程中,第二、三产业吸纳了大量的农村剩余劳动力,形成了劳动力的流动;农村劳动力流动与三次产业结构调整存在相互影响相互作用的内生性关系。[结论]并针对这一结论提出相应的政策建议,对更好的引导农村流动劳动力和产业结构调整优化具有重要的理论和实践意义。
[Abstract]:[Objective] Labor force is one of the important elements of economic development, and a large number of rural labor flows restrict the development of social economy. Since 1978, the industrial structure of China has been adjusted three times since the reform and opening up. With the development of agricultural modernization, a large number of rural labor force outflow, and this outflow is affected by the third industrial structure adjustment, so there is a great relationship between the rural labor flow and the third industrial structure adjustment. [Methods] in order to explore the relationship between the two, the paper uses panel data from 1978 to 2014 to change the proportion of rural floating labor force into various industries by GMM three-stage analysis. This paper makes a descriptive comparative analysis with the change of the ratio of tertiary industrial structure, and establishes the simultaneous equation and model. [Results: a large number of rural labor force from the land, from the primary industry to the second and third industries; In the process of industrial structure optimization and social development in China, the second and third industries absorb a large number of rural surplus labor force, forming the flow of labor force; There is an endogenous relationship between rural labor mobility and the third industrial structure adjustment. [Conclusion] it is of great theoretical and practical significance to better guide the rural floating labor force and optimize the industrial structure.
【作者单位】：成都纺织高等专科学校;
【基金】：四川省教育厅科研项目“公允价值会计信息的资本市场定价效率研究”(w15215217)
【分类号】：F121.3;F323.6
【正文快照】： 0引言劳动力流动是指由一定劳动能力的人在空间上的位移和工作岗位上的变换,主要有3种形式,即:劳动力在本地更换行业职业;在地区之间的流动;行业性流动也称易地在其他行业就业。根据产业结构演化理论,英国经济学家克拉克在1940年出版的《经济进步的条件》一书中首次提出三次产

【相似文献】