农业劳动力转移视角下取消农业税的政策效应分析

发布时间：2018-01-04 07:31

本文关键词：农业劳动力转移视角下取消农业税的政策效应分析　出处：《福建论坛(人文社会科学版)》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：取消农业税作为中国农村经济领域的一项重要政策一直备受学术界关注,本文首次从农业劳动力转移的角度对其政策效应进行分析。通过观察中国宏观层面的农劳比指标变化,结果发现:2004年开始取消农业税以后,中国农业劳动力向非农产业转移的进程明显加快。我们选取1999—2006年中国省级面板数据,采用双重差分的识别方法进行实证检验,证明了取消农业税对促进我国农业劳动力向非农产业转移的政策效应明显,并对其作用机理进行了推测。我们认为在经济下行时期,为从供给侧提升经济增长潜力,可从进一步促进我国农业劳动力转移着手,继续推进农村经济领域的相关改革。
[Abstract]:The abolition of agricultural tax as an important policy China rural economy field has attracted academic attention, to analyze the policy effect for the first time in this paper from the transfer of agricultural labor perspective. By observing the changes of agricultural lauby index results showed that: Chinese macro level after 2004 began the abolition of agricultural tax, agricultural labor transfer to non-agricultural industries Chinese speed up the process. We selected 1999 - 2006 China provincial panel data, recognition method using double difference empirical tests prove that the abolition of agricultural tax to promote the policy effects of China's agricultural labor transfer to non-agricultural industries is obvious, and the mechanism was proposed. We believe that in the economic downturn period, in order to improve the economy the growth potential from the supply side, from further promote the transfer of rural labor force to reform continue to promote the rural economy.

【作者单位】：中南财经政法大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F812.42;F323.6
【正文快照】： 一、引言“十三五”时期中国经济目标年均增长率将保持在6.5%以上,将继续维持中高速增长。“新常态”下的中国经济由过去的高速增长阶段逐渐步入中高速增长阶段,这其中既有短期需求因素的影响,也有长期供给因素的影响。从中国经济潜在增长率逐渐下降的这一事实来看(郭晗,2014;

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