甘肃省社会粮食供需平衡的数据测算及战略选择

发布时间：2018-01-07 16:31

本文关键词：甘肃省社会粮食供需平衡的数据测算及战略选择　出处：《兰州大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：通过对甘肃省粮食生产数据的分析,发现甘肃省粮食生产虽然有较快发展,但由于人口数量不断增加,人均粮食占有量一直低于全国同期人均粮食占有量,而人均粮食占有量增长率也低于同期粮食总产量的增长率,粮食安全形势不容乐观。本论文选用总供给—总需求模型进行甘肃省粮食供需平衡研究。以西方经济学、行为科学的相关理论为理论基础,深入分析甘肃省一定时期内粮食需求的发展趋势和影响因素。从粮食生产、粮食消费、粮食流通等方面对甘肃省粮食消费历史与现状、消费特征及其结构进行系统分析的基础上,利用粮食消费总体规律,对甘肃省粮食需求中长期总体趋势进行了测算和判断,并从加大基础设施投入、做好基本农田保护、提高粮食综合生产能力、加强粮食宏观调控、完善粮食流通储备体系、维护市场价格稳定和供应、保障粮食流通安全、积极利用国内市场、调剂省内粮食余缺等方面提出了切实可行的意见建议。通过一系列数据分析,结合世界普遍粮食生产、流通、消费规律,对甘肃省粮食在未来五年内的基本形势作了科学预测,为甘肃省实现粮食供需平衡、充分保障民生提供了有益借鉴和理论支撑。
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of the data of grain production in Gansu Province, found that grain production in Gansu province is in rapid development, but because of the increase of population, per capita grain share has been lower than in the same period of per capita grain, and the grain yield per capita growth rate is lower than the same period the total grain output growth rate, the food security situation is not optimistic. This paper selects total supply and total demand model of the balance of supply and demand of grain in Gansu province. In western economics, behavioral science theory as the theoretical basis, in-depth analysis of the development trend of the grain demand factors in a certain period of time in Gansu province and influence. From food production, food consumption, food distribution and other aspects of food consumption history and current situation of Gansu Province, analyzing the characteristics and structure of consumption, the consumption of grain overall law, demand for food in Gansu Province in the long-term overall trend Calculate and judge, and from increasing infrastructure investment, to the protection of basic farmland, improve the comprehensive grain production capacity, strengthen macro-control of food, improve the system of circulation of grain reserves, to maintain the stability of market price and supply, ensuring food circulation safety, active use of the domestic market, put forward the feasible suggestions to adjust the grain surplus.. through a series of data analysis, combined with the world food production, circulation and consumption patterns, makes a scientific prediction of the basic situation of grain in Gansu province in the next five years, in order to achieve the balance of grain supply and demand in Gansu Province, to fully protect the people's livelihood provides a useful reference and theoretical support.

【学位授予单位】：兰州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F326.11

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