中国林产品贸易成本测算及其影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-01-15 12:32

本文关键词：中国林产品贸易成本测算及其影响因素研究　出处：《国际贸易问题》2017年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文利用2000—2014年中国与20个林产品贸易伙伴国的双边贸易数据,运用Novy(2011)的模型测算中国林产品进出口贸易成本,并采用改进型引力模型分析影响林产品进出口贸易成本的主要因素。结果表明:当前中国主要林产品进出口贸易成本总体呈现逐年上升趋势,在原木、锯材、人造板、纸浆及纸和纸板进出口贸易成本上,成本年均增长率最高的贸易伙伴国分别为意大利、巴布亚新几内亚、德国、英国和德国;主要林产品进出口贸易成本上涨反映出中国林产品进出口企业目前利润空间在压缩,但部分国家的贸易成本下降也为相关林业企业提供了一定的市场选择空间;在影响中国主要林产品进出口贸易成本的因素中,双边人均GDP差值和人口规模是导致林产品进出口贸易成本上涨的重要因素;距离因素导致锯材、人造板、纸浆进出口贸易成本上涨;伙伴国贸易开放程度促进原木和锯材进出口贸易成本提升;共同边界和签订双边自由贸易协定分别降低了纸和纸板以及原木进出口贸易成本。
[Abstract]:Based on the bilateral trade data between China and 20 forest products trading partners from 2000 to 2014, this paper calculates the import and export trade cost of Chinese forest products using the model of Novy (2011). The main factors affecting the import and export trade cost of forest products were analyzed by using the improved gravity model. The results showed that the import and export trade cost of the main forest products in China was increasing year by year, in logs and sawn timber. In terms of import and export costs of wood-based panels, pulp and paper and paperboard, Italy, Papua New Guinea, Germany, the United Kingdom and Germany are the trading partners with the highest annual growth rates of costs. The increase of import and export cost of main forest products reflects that the profit space of Chinese forest products import and export enterprises is being compressed at present, but the decline of trade cost in some countries also provides certain market choice space for related forestry enterprises. Among the factors affecting the cost of import and export of main forest products in China, the difference of bilateral per capita GDP and the size of population are the important factors leading to the increase of the cost of import and export of forest products. Distance factors lead to increased trade costs of sawn wood, wood-based panels and pulp imports and exports; The degree of trade openness of partner countries promotes the increase of the cost of import and export of logs and sawn timber; Common borders and bilateral free trade agreements reduce the cost of paper and board and log imports and exports, respectively.
【作者单位】：北京林业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：2017年北京林业大学科技创新计划项目“中国与‘一带一路’沿线国家林产品贸易成本、便利化及其潜力研究”(2017zl01) 2015年北京林业大学青年教师科学研究中长期项目“经济新常态下中国林产品贸易转型升级研究”(2015ZCQ-JG-02) 2016年国家自然科学基金青年基金项目“经济全球化对森林转型的影响研究:以发展中国家为例”(71603023)
【分类号】：F326.2;F752.6
【正文快照】： 一、引言与文献综述近年来,随着中国林业产业的快速发展,林产品进出口贸易水平不断提升,2015年中国林产品进出口贸易额达1400亿美元,居世界首位,成为名副其实的林产品贸易大国。然而,贸易大国并非贸易强国,长期以来,中国林产品贸易发展主要是基于劳动力成本比较优势的驱动,形

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