粮食金融化对我国粮食安全影响的研究

发布时间：2018-04-25 05:14

本文选题：粮食金融化 + 粮食安全　；参考：《湖南大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：国以民为本,民以食为天。自古以来,人类的生存离不开农产品,而作为农产品中最核心、最重要的粮食更是人类生存的主要食物来源,其安全问题意义重大。我国历来对粮食安全问题高度重视,近年来中共中央一号文件连续关注三农问题,但在新常态下,农业的发展特别是农产品市场的发展与金融市场的关联日趋紧密,最突出的表现就是粮食金融化。粮食和其他农产品一样日益具备金融属性,但粮食金融化其实并没有改变粮食固有价值与使用价值,却改变了粮食的用途,使粮食不再是单纯的普通商品,而论为了投资商品,这是开放经济条件下市场经济发展的必然结果,是农产品市场进一步发展的一个必经过程。粮食金融化浪潮席卷而来,使得粮食期货市场的迅速发展,同时也使粮食的定价方式发生了根本性转变,粮食的金融属性成为左右粮食市场价格的最重要因素。基于以上背景,文章试图从粮食金融化的角度去分析我国粮食安全问题。本文首先梳理粮食安全的相关理论和国内外研究综述,其次着重从粮食金融化对我国粮食安全影响的理论进行分析,梳理了粮食金融化与粮食安全的内在关系,研究得出粮食金融化通过价格机制影响我国粮食供需情况,并从粮食价格波动的特点和粮食价格对粮食生产、消费和贸易的影响角度寻找影响粮食安全的因素。接着从3个角度深入研究粮食融化对粮食安全影响的机理,特别是粮食现货市场与期货市场的价格联动机理及其相互作用的分析,通过采集相关数据建立实证模型,得到回归结果。最后分析粮食金融化因素对我国粮食安全的影响并提出对策与建议。经过回归模型分析,我国粮食期货价格指数、人民币汇率和货币供给量是影响我国粮食安全的主要因素。所以利用粮食金融化保障国家粮食安全需要从健全粮食金融市场体系配置粮食金融资源,保障粮食主产区农业生产者的种粮利益,帮助引导家庭农场对冲粮食价格风险,完善现代粮食流通体系以提高粮食市场的效率,运用双边或多边贸易谈判稳定粮食贸易价格和数量,培养同时具有专业的农业知识和扎实的金融素质的人才这6个方面着手。
[Abstract]:The nation is based on the people, and the people on food. Since ancient times, human survival can not be separated from agricultural products, and as the core of agricultural products, the most important food is the main food source of human survival, its safety issues are of great significance. China has always attached great importance to the issue of food security. In recent years, the first document of the CPC Central Committee has continuously paid attention to the issue of agriculture, rural areas and farmers. However, under the new normal situation, the development of agriculture, especially the development of agricultural products markets, is increasingly closely related to the financial markets. The most prominent performance is the financialization of grain. Food, like other agricultural products, has become increasingly financial, but the financialization of food has not changed the intrinsic value and use value of food, but has changed the use of food so that it is no longer a mere commodity, but in order to invest in commodities, This is the inevitable result of the development of market economy under the condition of open economy, and is a necessary process of further development of agricultural product market. The trend of grain financialization has brought about the rapid development of the grain futures market and the fundamental transformation of the pricing mode of grain. The financial attribute of grain has become the most important factor affecting the price of grain market. Based on the above background, this paper tries to analyze the problem of food security in China from the perspective of grain financialization. This paper firstly combs the relevant theories of grain security and reviews the domestic and foreign research, then analyzes the influence of grain financialization on food security in China, and combs the internal relationship between grain financialization and food security. It is concluded that the financialization of grain affects the situation of grain supply and demand in China through the price mechanism, and from the point of view of the fluctuation of grain price and the influence of grain price on grain production, consumption and trade, the factors affecting food security are found. Then, the mechanism of grain melting on food security is studied from three angles, especially the mechanism of price linkage between spot market and futures market and its interaction, and the empirical model is established by collecting relevant data. The regression results are obtained. Finally, the paper analyzes the influence of grain financialization on food security in China and puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions. Through the regression model analysis, the grain futures price index, RMB exchange rate and money supply are the main factors that affect the food security in China. Therefore, to ensure national food security by using food financialization, we need to allocate grain financial resources from a sound grain financial market system, safeguard the grain planting interests of agricultural producers in the main grain producing areas, and help guide family farms to hedge grain price risks. To perfect the modern grain circulation system to improve the efficiency of grain market, to use bilateral or multilateral trade negotiations to stabilize the grain trade price and quantity, and to train talents with professional agricultural knowledge and solid financial quality.
【学位授予单位】：湖南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F326.11

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