新疆农业资金投入与农民收入效应关系的实证研究
发布时间：2018-08-19 18:44
【摘要】：[目的]为清晰识别农业资金投入对新疆农民收入的影响程度,并给予地方政府进一步优化调整农业资金使用效能提供参考依据。[方法]文章选取1978~2013年新疆统计数据,采用协整分析、误差修正模型等方法对财政支农、农业贷款、农民自主投资与新疆农民人均纯收入进行了实证探究。[结果]新疆地区财政支农、农业信贷、农民自主投资与农民人均纯收入之间存在长期均衡关系;而短期内财政支农、农业信贷以及农户自主投资的促进效应不如长期明显,其中农业贷款的收入效应远低于财政支农和农民自主投资;财政支农、农民自主投资与农民人均纯收入在短期内具有格兰杰因果关系,长期则格兰杰因果关系解释力逐渐减弱,而农业贷款在短期内不是新疆农民人均纯收入增长的格兰杰原因,长期则互为格兰杰因果关系。[结论]该文提出加大财政支农投入力度,提高财政资金配置效率;推动农村金融改革,提高农村金融效率;提振农民自主积累资金投资的积极性等政策含义,以期为新疆"三农问题"有效解决提供坚实可靠的资本基础。
[Abstract]:[objective] to clearly identify the influence of agricultural investment on the income of farmers in Xinjiang, and to provide a reference for the local government to optimize and adjust the efficiency of agricultural funds. [methods] based on the statistical data of Xinjiang from 1978 to 2013, the paper uses co-integration analysis and error correction model to make an empirical study on the financial support for agriculture, agricultural loans, farmers' independent investment and the per capita net income of the peasants in Xinjiang. [results] there was a long-term equilibrium relationship between the financial support for agriculture, agricultural credit, farmers' independent investment and the per capita net income of farmers in Xinjiang, but in the short term, the promoting effect of fiscal support for agriculture, agricultural credit and farmers' independent investment was not as obvious as in the long term. Among them, the income effect of agricultural loan is far lower than that of fiscal support for agriculture and farmers' independent investment, and there is a Granger causality relationship between financial support for agriculture, peasants' independent investment and peasants' per capita net income in the short term, but in the long run, the explanation of Granger causality gradually weakens. In the short term, agricultural loan is not the Granger reason for the increase of per capita net income of farmers in Xinjiang, but the cause and effect of Granger in the long run. [conclusion] this paper puts forward the policy implications of increasing the investment of financial support to agriculture, improving the efficiency of the allocation of financial funds, promoting the reform of rural finance, improving the efficiency of rural finance, boosting the enthusiasm of farmers to accumulate funds independently, and so on. In order to effectively solve the "three rural issues" in Xinjiang to provide a solid and reliable capital base.
【作者单位】： 新疆农业大学经济与贸易学院;中南财经政法大学财政税务学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71363050) 新疆人文社科重点研究基地干旱区农村发展研究中心课题“新疆强农惠农政策绩效评价与对策研究”(XJEDU030114Y02)
【分类号】：F323.9;F323.8
本文编号：2192498
[Abstract]:[objective] to clearly identify the influence of agricultural investment on the income of farmers in Xinjiang, and to provide a reference for the local government to optimize and adjust the efficiency of agricultural funds. [methods] based on the statistical data of Xinjiang from 1978 to 2013, the paper uses co-integration analysis and error correction model to make an empirical study on the financial support for agriculture, agricultural loans, farmers' independent investment and the per capita net income of the peasants in Xinjiang. [results] there was a long-term equilibrium relationship between the financial support for agriculture, agricultural credit, farmers' independent investment and the per capita net income of farmers in Xinjiang, but in the short term, the promoting effect of fiscal support for agriculture, agricultural credit and farmers' independent investment was not as obvious as in the long term. Among them, the income effect of agricultural loan is far lower than that of fiscal support for agriculture and farmers' independent investment, and there is a Granger causality relationship between financial support for agriculture, peasants' independent investment and peasants' per capita net income in the short term, but in the long run, the explanation of Granger causality gradually weakens. In the short term, agricultural loan is not the Granger reason for the increase of per capita net income of farmers in Xinjiang, but the cause and effect of Granger in the long run. [conclusion] this paper puts forward the policy implications of increasing the investment of financial support to agriculture, improving the efficiency of the allocation of financial funds, promoting the reform of rural finance, improving the efficiency of rural finance, boosting the enthusiasm of farmers to accumulate funds independently, and so on. In order to effectively solve the "three rural issues" in Xinjiang to provide a solid and reliable capital base.
【作者单位】： 新疆农业大学经济与贸易学院;中南财经政法大学财政税务学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71363050) 新疆人文社科重点研究基地干旱区农村发展研究中心课题“新疆强农惠农政策绩效评价与对策研究”(XJEDU030114Y02)
【分类号】：F323.9;F323.8
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，本文编号：2192498
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