南平市农村居民收入结构及增长点研究
发布时间：2018-10-25 17:24
【摘要】：2004年以来,以农业、农村、农民为主题的中央一号文件连续公布,突显了“三农”问题在我国建设与繁荣富强中具有举足轻重的作用。农民作为行动的实施者,与农业、农村相比得到更多的关注,人们在关注农民的同时势必会谈到其收入问题。农民收入增长迟缓成为现阶段农村建设和农业发展遇到的最显著的困难。因此,“十二五”乃至“十三五”期间要着重处理农民收入增加难的问题。本课题以农民收入构成角度为切入点,从新世纪以来南平市农村居民收入发展特点入手,以农村居民人均收入和收入四大构成为主要变量建立计量经济学模型,从实证分析的角度来判断和选择农村居民收入的增长点,从而有针对性地提出促进南平市农村居民收入增长的对策建议。在分析农村居民收入结构以确定收入增长点时,采用定量分析的方法对新经济增长点进行高成长性筛选、与收入的均衡关系筛选、未来影响程度筛选,用Eviews统计软件对数据进行分析。同时,通过实地调查研究,了解南平市农村居民收入发展状况及存在的问题。分别按照高成长性、长期均衡关系、影响力从高到低赋予4、3、2、1等4个分值,综合分值最高的判定为模型所得出的新增长点。通过比较贡献度、增速、稳定性,对农村居民收入四大构成进行高成长性筛选；对收入四大构成与总收入的协整及ECM分析,进行与收入的均衡关系筛选；建立VAR模型和脉冲响应函数,对未来影响程度进行筛选,最后综合得到收入四大构成中的工资性收入将作为今后南平农村居民收入的新增长点,结合影响南平市农村居民收入增长的结构性因素,有针对性地提出促进农村居民收入增长的对策建议。由于农民增收问题涉及到方方面面,财政、金融、政策等不同领域均会对农村居民收入增加产生影响,而国际上和国内关于农民增收的研究往往倾向于理论分析,较少在实证方面开展研究。本论文运用计量模型判定农村居民收入和经济同步增长的一致性,并以四大构成为切入点判断未来拉动收入增长的结构,为研究此类问题提供了一个思路。
[Abstract]:Since 2004, the first document of the Central Committee, with the theme of agriculture, rural areas and farmers, has been published continuously, which highlights the important role of the issue of "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" in the construction and prosperity of our country. Compared with agriculture and rural areas, farmers, as implementers of action, are paid more attention to, and people are bound to talk about their income at the same time. The slow growth of farmers' income has become the most significant difficulty in rural construction and agricultural development. Therefore, the twelfth five-year plan and even the 13th five-year plan should focus on the problem of increasing farmers' income. Based on the characteristics of rural residents' income development in Nanping City since the new century, the paper sets up an econometric model based on the four main variables of rural residents' per capita income and income. From the perspective of empirical analysis, this paper judges and selects the growth point of rural residents' income, and puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to promote the growth of rural residents' income in Nanping City. When analyzing the income structure of rural residents to determine the income growth point, the paper adopts the method of quantitative analysis to screen the new economic growth point with high growth, the equilibrium relationship between the new economic growth point and income, and the degree of influence in the future. The data were analyzed by Eviews software. At the same time, through field investigation, we know the income development situation and existing problems of rural residents in Nanping City. According to the relationship of high growth, long term equilibrium, the influence from high to low gives 4 points, such as 4 / 3 / 2 / 1, and the judgment of the highest comprehensive value is the new growth point obtained by the model. By comparing the contribution degree, the growth rate, the stability, the high growth screening of the four major components of rural residents' income, the analysis of co-integration and ECM analysis of the four major components of income and the total income, and the screening of the equilibrium relationship between the four components and the income; The VAR model and impulse response function are established to screen the influence degree in the future. Finally, the wage income of the four major income components will be the new growth point of the rural residents' income in Nanping in the future. Combined with the structural factors affecting the income growth of rural residents in Nanping City, the countermeasures and suggestions for promoting the income growth of rural residents are put forward. Since the problem of increasing farmers' income involves many aspects, such as finance, policy and other fields, it will have an impact on the increase of income of rural residents. However, the research on increasing farmers' income at home and abroad tends to be theoretical analysis. Less empirical research is carried out. This paper uses the econometric model to judge the consistency between the income of rural residents and the economic growth, and judges the structure of the future income growth with the four major components, which provides a way of thinking for the study of this kind of problems.
【学位授予单位】：福建农林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.8
本文编号：2294319
[Abstract]:Since 2004, the first document of the Central Committee, with the theme of agriculture, rural areas and farmers, has been published continuously, which highlights the important role of the issue of "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" in the construction and prosperity of our country. Compared with agriculture and rural areas, farmers, as implementers of action, are paid more attention to, and people are bound to talk about their income at the same time. The slow growth of farmers' income has become the most significant difficulty in rural construction and agricultural development. Therefore, the twelfth five-year plan and even the 13th five-year plan should focus on the problem of increasing farmers' income. Based on the characteristics of rural residents' income development in Nanping City since the new century, the paper sets up an econometric model based on the four main variables of rural residents' per capita income and income. From the perspective of empirical analysis, this paper judges and selects the growth point of rural residents' income, and puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to promote the growth of rural residents' income in Nanping City. When analyzing the income structure of rural residents to determine the income growth point, the paper adopts the method of quantitative analysis to screen the new economic growth point with high growth, the equilibrium relationship between the new economic growth point and income, and the degree of influence in the future. The data were analyzed by Eviews software. At the same time, through field investigation, we know the income development situation and existing problems of rural residents in Nanping City. According to the relationship of high growth, long term equilibrium, the influence from high to low gives 4 points, such as 4 / 3 / 2 / 1, and the judgment of the highest comprehensive value is the new growth point obtained by the model. By comparing the contribution degree, the growth rate, the stability, the high growth screening of the four major components of rural residents' income, the analysis of co-integration and ECM analysis of the four major components of income and the total income, and the screening of the equilibrium relationship between the four components and the income; The VAR model and impulse response function are established to screen the influence degree in the future. Finally, the wage income of the four major income components will be the new growth point of the rural residents' income in Nanping in the future. Combined with the structural factors affecting the income growth of rural residents in Nanping City, the countermeasures and suggestions for promoting the income growth of rural residents are put forward. Since the problem of increasing farmers' income involves many aspects, such as finance, policy and other fields, it will have an impact on the increase of income of rural residents. However, the research on increasing farmers' income at home and abroad tends to be theoretical analysis. Less empirical research is carried out. This paper uses the econometric model to judge the consistency between the income of rural residents and the economic growth, and judges the structure of the future income growth with the four major components, which provides a way of thinking for the study of this kind of problems.
【学位授予单位】：福建农林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.8
【参考文献】
中国硕士学位论文全文数据库 前1条
1 苏楠;农村小额信贷对农民增收影响研究[D];广西大学;2013年
，本文编号：2294319
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