浙江文化教育消费增长态势及其预期空间检测——“九五”以来20年分析与“十三五”预测

发布时间：2018-07-09 17:28

本文选题：浙江 + 文化教育　；参考：《文化艺术研究》2017年02期

【摘要】：基于1995-2015年相关增长,以扩大消费需求和促进城乡共享为目标,检测2015年浙江城乡文教消费需求总量应有空间:供需协调性测算1615.52亿元,消除负相关测算2525.68亿元,最佳比例值测算3106.79亿元,最小城乡比测算3121.29亿元,弥合城乡比测算3755.51亿元,城乡无差距测算5467.76亿元,而实际总量仅为1353.81亿元。测算浙江至2020年文教消费增长目标及文化产业发展空间:按1995~2015年历年均增值实际测算为第21位;2015~2020年供需协调性目标测算为第20位;消除负相关目标测算为第24位;最佳比例值目标测算为第20位;最小城乡比目标测算为第17位;弥合城乡比目标测算为第19位;城乡无差距目标测算为第18位。
[Abstract]:Based on the related growth between 1995 and 2015, and aiming at expanding consumption demand and promoting urban and rural sharing, this paper examines that the total consumption demand of culture and education in Zhejiang in 2015 should have space: the coordination of supply and demand measures 161.552 billion yuan, and the elimination of negative correlation measures 252.568 billion yuan. The best ratio is 310.679 billion yuan, the minimum rural-urban ratio is 312.129 billion yuan, the closing rural-urban ratio is 375.551 billion yuan, and the rural-urban gap is 546.776 billion yuan, but the actual total amount is only 135.381 billion yuan. The goal of Zhejiang's cultural and educational consumption growth and the space for the development of cultural industry from 2020 to 2020 are estimated as follows: the 21st place is the 21st place in terms of the actual annual value added in the 1995-2015 calendar, the 20th place is the coordination target of supply and demand from 2015 to 2020, the 24th place is the elimination of negative correlation target; The best proportion target is the 20th place; the minimum urban-rural ratio target is the 17th place; the bridge-rural-urban ratio target is the 19th place; and the rural-urban no gap target is the 18th place.
【作者单位】：云南省社会科学院;
【分类号】：G124

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