基于灰色系统理论的北京市文化创意产业结构研究

发布时间：2018-11-23 06:13

【摘要】：文化创意产业是北京重点发展的四大高端产业之一，它也是首都经济重要的支柱和新的增长点。因此，研究北京市文化创意产业的结构特性，找出文化创意产业内部结构的规律，能够为北京市文化创意产业的发展提供理论依据，为政府政策的制定提供现实支持。本论文按照“提出问题分析问题解决问题”的思路进行，，研究内容主要包括：（1）以北京市文化创意产业的发展现状为切入点，采用产业结构理论的方法，通过构建文化创意产业结构的分析指标，定量分析北京市文化创意产业的结构特征和效益。分析指标包括：偏离度，比较劳动生产率，产值比重，需求的收入弹性以及就业弹性系数；（2）采用灰色关联分析的手段，定量分析北京市文化创意产业内部9大行业的产值增量与总产值增量在发展过程中随时间的相对变化，找出与北京市文化创意产业产值增加灰色关联度最高和最低的行业；（3）运用灰色聚类分析的方法，根据灰色综合聚类模型，结合文化创意产业的结构分析指标，研究北京市文化创意产业的层次，揭示北京市文化创意产业各行业的竞争力，阐述产业增强自身聚类能力的策略；（4）利用决策论的相关方法，提出了北京市文化创意产业的发展策略问题，阐述了政府在制定文化创意产业发展战略时应当把握的原则和方向。将产业结构理论和灰色系统理论应用于文化创意产业结构的研究，有助于扩大该理论的应用领域，采用量化的数据和模型，也有助于弥补当前文化创意产业研究中的缺失和不足。通过发现北京市文化创意产业结构中的普遍规律，使北京市政府在复杂的经济形势下能够抢抓机遇、再创优势，推进文化创意产业在更高起点上实现新的创新发展，然后向更广阔的范围进行推广，为其他城市的产业发展提供参考借鉴。
[Abstract]:Cultural and creative industry is one of the four major high-end industries in Beijing. It is also an important pillar and new growth point of the capital economy. Therefore, studying the structural characteristics of Beijing's cultural and creative industries and finding out the internal structure of cultural and creative industries can provide theoretical basis for the development of Beijing's cultural and creative industries and provide practical support for the formulation of government policies. The main contents of this thesis are as follows: (1) with the development of Beijing's cultural and creative industries as the starting point, the method of industrial structure theory is adopted. The structural characteristics and benefits of Beijing cultural creative industry are quantitatively analyzed by constructing the analysis index of cultural and creative industry structure. The analysis indexes include: deviation degree, comparative labor productivity, proportion of output value, income elasticity of demand and employment elasticity coefficient; (2) quantitative analysis of the increment of output value and the increment of gross output value of 9 major industries in Beijing's cultural and creative industries with time by means of grey correlation analysis. To find out the industries with the highest and lowest degree of grey correlation with the increase of the output value of Beijing's cultural and creative industries; (3) using the method of grey cluster analysis, according to the grey comprehensive clustering model and combining the structural analysis index of cultural creative industry, the level of Beijing cultural creative industry is studied. To reveal the competitiveness of various industries in Beijing's cultural and creative industries, and explain the strategies for industry to enhance its clustering ability; (4) by using the relevant methods of decision theory, this paper puts forward the development strategy of Beijing's cultural and creative industries, and expounds the principles and directions that the government should grasp in formulating the development strategy of cultural and creative industries. The application of industrial structure theory and grey system theory to the study of cultural and creative industrial structure will help to expand the application field of this theory and adopt quantitative data and models. Also help to make up for the current cultural and creative industries in the lack of research and deficiencies. By discovering the universal laws in the structure of cultural and creative industries in Beijing, the Beijing Municipal Government can seize the opportunities, create new advantages and promote the cultural and creative industries to achieve new and innovative development at a higher starting point under the complex economic situation. Then to a wider range of promotion, for other cities to provide reference for industrial development.
【学位授予单位】：北京工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：G124

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