基于生产安全事故预测的非煤矿山安全监管体制优化研究

发布时间：2018-03-10 19:23

本文选题：安全生产　切入点：监督管理　出处：《湖南科技大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近年来,随着国民经济的飞速发展,安全生产工作中的矛盾日益突出,各类生产安全事故频发,特别是矿山、烟花爆竹等高危行业,引起社会的广泛关注,加之人民群众对安全生产的利益诉求和需求随着社会进步而不断增加,加强安全生产工作愈发显得格外重要。我国历来重视安全生产监督管理工作,特别是进入新世纪以来,无论是政策倾向抑或是经济投入,还是机构改革与人才教育培养,应该讲,安全生产工作取得的长足的进步,但当前仍不容乐观的安全生产形势依然是阻碍我国实现科学发展、安全发展的一道鸿沟。本文以湘潭市的非煤矿山安全生产工作实际为研究对象,分析当前的安全生产工作的总体发展思路,探讨安全生产监督管理工作体制的优势及不足,深入研究监管工作存在的困难和问题,重点分析湘潭市非煤矿山行业生产安全事故的历年数据,以此为基础利用MATLAB中的Cftool工具箱建立了生产安全事故的拟合曲线,并对今后几年的事故数据进行预测,研究预测未来的非煤矿山生产安全事故的发生概率及趋势。通过生产安全事故预测模型研究,为加强安全生产监督管理工作控制事故的提供一定的思路和对策。本文就安全生产监督管理工作提出了几个具有建设性的工作思路和工作模式:总体思路是通过事故统计及预测研究系统分析事故的发展趋势,针对性的开展安全生产监督管理工作机制的优化,创新性提出了非煤矿山第三方监管模式,运用中介服务机构或专家排查企业存在的各类安全隐患,切实做到事故隐患的排查治理工作覆盖全面且重点突出;大力推行科技兴安策略,充分发挥先进科技的生产力,弥补现行的安全生产监管体制存在的不足。湘潭市的非煤矿山的安全监管工作的初步探索试验表明,本文提出的安全生产工作思路及模式可行性强,工作成效进步明显,可为其他地区的的安全生产监督管理工作提供一定的参考借鉴,也可为安全生产工作创新发展的研究提供一定的学术研究价值。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of the national economy, the contradictions in production safety work become increasingly prominent. The frequent occurrence of various kinds of production safety accidents, especially in high-risk industries such as mines, fireworks and firecrackers, has aroused widespread concern in the society. In addition, the interests and demands of the people for safe production are increasing with the progress of society, so it is more and more important to strengthen the work of safety in production. Our country has always attached importance to the work of supervision and management of production safety, especially since the beginning of the new century. Whether it is the tendency of policy or economic investment, or institutional reform and personnel education, it should be said that safety production has made great progress, but the current situation of safety production is still a hindrance to the scientific development of our country. This paper takes the practice of safety production in non-coal mines in Xiangtan City as the research object, analyzes the overall development ideas of the current safety production work, and probes into the advantages and disadvantages of the system of supervision and management of production safety production. This paper deeply studies the difficulties and problems existing in the supervision work, analyzes emphatically the data of production safety accidents in Xiangtan non-coal mining industry over the years, and establishes the fitting curve of production safety accidents by using Cftool toolbox in MATLAB. The accident data in the next few years are forecasted, and the probability and trend of future production safety accidents in non-coal mines are studied. In order to provide some ideas and countermeasures for strengthening the supervision and management of production safety and controlling accidents, this paper puts forward several constructive working ideas and working modes for the supervision and management of production safety: the overall idea is to adopt. Analysis of the trend of accident Statistics and Prediction system, Aiming at optimizing the work mechanism of safety production supervision and management, innovatively putting forward the third party supervision mode of non-coal mine, using intermediary service organizations or experts to investigate all kinds of safety hidden dangers existing in enterprises, Ensure that the investigation and management of hidden dangers of accidents cover all aspects and focus prominently; vigorously implement the strategy of promoting safety through science and technology, and give full play to the productive forces of advanced science and technology, The preliminary exploration and test of the safety supervision work in non-coal mines in Xiangtan City shows that the safety production work thought and mode proposed in this paper are feasible and the work results have improved obviously. It can provide some reference for the supervision and management of production safety in other regions, and also provide certain academic research value for the research of innovation and development of the work of safety in production.
【学位授予单位】：湖南科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.21;TD79

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