华亭煤业集团多元化发展风险评价研究

发布时间：2018-07-24 13:09

【摘要】：近十年来,我国社会经济快速发展,煤炭企业迎来了发展的黄金时期,经济效益好,资金充裕,煤炭企业为了避免单一产业带来的风险,纷纷走上了多元化发展的的道路,华亭煤业集团也初步形成了煤电化冶多元化发展的战略格局,然而由于不少煤炭企业在开展多元化经营时带有一定的盲目性和局限性,给企业的发展带来了一定的风险,特别是自2012年5月以来,煤炭需求低速增长,煤炭价格大幅下滑,煤炭企业经济效益大幅下降,大部分煤炭企业的多元化发展也陷入了困境,为此,有必要对煤炭企业多元化发展所面临的诸多风险进行识别、评价和防范。本文在对国内外企业多元化发展风险的相关研究现状进行综述的基础上,综合运用多元化风险理论、层次分析法、模糊综合评价方法对华亭煤业集团多元化发展风险进行了理论研究和实证分析,一是对企业多元化的概念及类型、风险的内涵与分类、多元化发展风险的评价方法进行了阐述;二是结合华亭煤业集团实际,采用文献分析法和调查问卷法,构建了由政策风险、技术风险、财务风险、管理风险、市场风险4个一级指标及相应的30个二级指标所组成的煤炭企业多元化发展风险评价指标体系;三是根据所建立的华亭煤业公司风险指标体系,运用模糊综合评价方法,建立了华亭煤业公司风险多级模糊综合评价模型,并对华亭煤业集团风险等级进行了确定;四是针对华亭煤业集团多元化发展风险评价的结果,提出了华亭煤业集团多元化发展风险的防范对策。本文的研究成果对于华亭煤业集团多元化发展战略的总体布局及多元化发展风险防范具有积极作用,对于其他煤炭企业多元化发展风险评价有一定的参考价值。
[Abstract]:In the past ten years, with the rapid development of China's social economy, coal enterprises have ushered in a golden period of development, with good economic benefits and abundant funds. In order to avoid the risks brought by a single industry, coal enterprises have embarked on the road of diversified development. Huating Coal Industry Group has also initially formed a strategic pattern of diversified development of coal, electricity and metallurgy. However, due to the blindness and limitations of many coal enterprises in carrying out diversified operations, it has brought certain risks to the development of enterprises. In particular, since May 2012, coal demand has been growing at a low speed, coal prices have fallen sharply, economic benefits of coal enterprises have fallen sharply, and the diversified development of most coal enterprises has also fallen into difficulties. It is necessary to identify, evaluate and prevent the risks faced by the diversified development of coal enterprises. On the basis of summarizing the related research status of diversification risk in domestic and foreign enterprises, this paper synthetically applies the theory of diversification risk and the analytic hierarchy process. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method has carried on the theory research and the demonstration analysis to the Huating Coal Industry Group diversification development risk, first, has carried on the elaboration to the enterprise diversification concept and the type, the risk connotation and the classification, the diversification development risk appraisal method has carried on the elaboration; Second, combining with the actual situation of Huating Coal Industry Group, using the method of literature analysis and questionnaire, the paper constructs the policy risk, the technical risk, the financial risk and the management risk. The evaluation index system of diversified development risk of coal enterprises is composed of 4 first class market risk indexes and 30 corresponding second grade indexes. Thirdly, according to the established risk index system of Huating Coal Company, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used. The multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of the risk of Huating Coal Industry Company is established, and the risk grade of Huating Coal Industry Group is determined. Fourth, the result of risk evaluation for the diversified development of Huating Coal Industry Group, The paper puts forward the countermeasures to prevent the risk of diversified development of Huating Coal Industry Group. The research results of this paper have a positive effect on the overall layout of the diversified development strategy and risk prevention of diversified development of Huating Coal Industry Group, and it has certain reference value for other coal enterprises to evaluate the risk of diversification development.
【学位授予单位】：西安科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.21

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