旧工业建筑（群）再生利用决策系统研究

发布时间：2018-01-29 17:41

本文关键词： 旧工业建筑（群）再生利用决策系统效果评价模式选择模型　出处：《西安建筑科技大学》2013年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目的开展已成为今后城市旧工业区改造的主要趋势。在旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目的开展过程中，项目的改造存在很大的盲目性和跟风现象，由此导致再生利用项目成功的案例非常有限，并且产生了许多社会问题，对城市的形象和发展造成了很大的负面影响。因此，论文以为决策者提供理性决策工具，协助决策者合理、有效、快速地作出判断，避免再生利用项目的盲目开发和化解由此带来的社会矛盾为目的，通过对大量有关研究文献的分析汇总，并结合全国大范围的实地调研，展开对旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目系列决策问题的研究，研究的主要内容及成果包括以下几方面： 1.旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目调研分析及基础信息集建立。由于目前旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目的相关研究成果缺乏，为了解决决策分析所需的参考信息，研究以全国调研采集的项目基础信息作为决策分析的参考依据。为了方便后期应用，将调研收集的大量项目信息进行系统归类划分，最终形成旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目基础信息集。 2.旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目决策分析系统研究。该系统建立的基本思路是在没有成形的同类项目的决策系统研究成果下，深度挖掘全国调研采集的旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目基础信息，从可持续发展的角度出发，通过一定方法对收集的项目进行多重评定、筛选；将优选后的大量成功的再生利用项目作为决策的参考依据，建立起旧工业建筑（群）再生利用模式选择模型，以确定具体的旧工业建筑（群）是否具有再生利用价值和选择合适的再生利用模式，同时对决策后的再生利用模式作进一步政策性调整，并评价改造后的项目与预期目标的差异，同时对差异较大项目做出修正。 3.旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目效果评价研究。项目效果评价模型作为再生利用项目决策分析系统的重要组成部分，主要起着系统决策信息（样本）筛选，改造后项目的效果评价分析以及调整或改进选定后的再生利用模式等作用。本文在可持续发展理论的基础上，运用德尔菲法和可拓分析法等确立了再生利用项目效果评价指标和指标体系。同时，通过对再生利用项目效果评价方法的分析，建立基于可拓优度法的旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目效果评价模型，并通过实例论证了模型的有效性与可操作性。 4.旧工业建筑（群）再生利用模式选择研究。项目再生利用模式选择作为再生利用项目决策分析系统的另一重要组成部分，主要起着分析项目再生利用价值和确定项目再生利用模式等作用。研究在项目效果评价的基础上，综合考虑选用BP神经网络算法构建旧工业建筑（群）再生利用模式选择模型。以期实现合理、快速、有效地确定旧工业建筑（群）改造项目的再生利用模式，从而丰富和完善再生利用项目决策分析系统的研究。 5.旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目决策辅助计算软件研究与编制。考虑到旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目决策分析系统中的模型计算过于复杂，通过手工计算难以实现，，并考虑能够快速、有效地完成项目决策的理论分析过程，专门研究编制了相应的决策辅助计算软件。该软件是基于.net平台开发研制的，主要包括旧工业建筑（群）再生利用项目效果评价和模式选择两部分内容。最后通过实例论证了该计算软件有效性和可行性。
[Abstract]:The development of the old industrial building ( group ) recycling project has become the main trend of the transformation of the old industrial area in the future . In the process of the regeneration and utilization of the old industrial buildings ( group ) , the renovation of the project has a great blindness and high - heeled phenomenon , which leads to the limited success of the recycling project , and has caused many social problems , which has a great negative impact on the image and development of the city . Therefore , to provide the decision - maker with rational decision - making tools , to help the decision - makers to make reasonable , effective and quick decisions , to avoid the blind development of recycling projects and to solve the social contradictions caused thereby , through the analysis and summary of large numbers of relevant research literatures , and combining with the large - scale field investigation in the country , the main contents and achievements of the research on the regeneration and utilization of old industrial buildings ( groups ) include the following aspects : 1 . The research and analysis of the old industrial buildings ( group ) and the establishment of the basic information sets . As a result of the lack of relevant research results of the old industrial buildings ( group ) recycling projects , the project basic information collected in the whole country is used as the reference basis for decision analysis in order to solve the reference information needed for the decision analysis . In order to facilitate the later application , the large amount of project information collected by the research is classified and divided , and the old industrial buildings ( groups ) are finally formed to utilize the project basic information set . 2 . The old industrial building ( group ) regeneration and utilization project decision - making analysis system research . The basic idea of the system is that the old industrial buildings ( group ) collected in the whole country are comprehensively evaluated and screened from the viewpoint of sustainable development . The selection model of regeneration and utilization pattern of old industrial buildings ( group ) is established to determine whether the specific old industrial building ( group ) has the regeneration utilization value and the appropriate regeneration utilization mode , and the regeneration utilization mode after the decision is further adjusted , and the difference between the reconstructed project and the expected target is evaluated , and the difference larger project is corrected . Based on the theory of sustainable development , this paper uses Delphi method and extension analysis method to establish the evaluation index and index system of regeneration and utilization . At the same time , based on the theory of sustainable development , this paper uses Delphi method and extension analysis method to establish the evaluation index and index system of regeneration and utilization . 4 . Research on the selection of regeneration and utilization mode of old industrial buildings ( group ) . The selection of project regeneration and utilization mode as another important part of the decision - making analysis system of recycling project mainly plays an important role in analyzing the value of recycling and utilization of the project . In order to realize reasonable , rapid and effective regeneration and utilization model of old industrial buildings ( group ) , the research on the decision - making analysis system of recycling project is enriched and perfected . 5 . The old industrial building ( group ) regeneration utilizes the project decision - making auxiliary calculation software research and development . Considering that the model calculation in the decision - making analysis system of the old industrial building ( group ) is too complex , it is difficult to realize through manual calculation , and considering the theory analysis process which can quickly and effectively complete the project decision - making , the corresponding decision - aided calculation software is developed . The software is developed based on . net platform , mainly including the two parts of the old industrial building ( group ) regeneration and utilization project effect evaluation and mode selection . Finally , the validity and feasibility of the calculation software are demonstrated through examples .

【学位授予单位】：西安建筑科技大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：TU984.114

【参考文献】