我国石油工业投资—碳排放—经济增长关系研究

发布时间：2018-05-14 20:39

本文选题：石油工业投资 + 碳排放　；参考：《中国石油大学(华东)》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,我国石油工业的发展不断与国际接轨,发展速度逐步加快,我国石油工业投资也在稳步增长;然而,作为碳排放大户,我国石油工业投资在高速发展的同时需要为高能耗和高污染负责。因此,如何协调石油工业投资、石油工业碳排放和经济增长三者的关系成为了一个亟待解决的问题。首先对我国石油工业投资现状、石油工业碳排放情况和经济增长现状进行了分析,然后运用定性分析的方法对石油工业投资—碳排放—经济增长进行了逐对的影响分析,发现石油工业投资、碳排放和经济增长两两存在相互的影响关系。接下来对石油工业投资—碳排放—经济增长关系进行定量分析,建立了石油工业投资—碳排放—经济增长“三元”循环影响结构,并通过面板自向量回归模型对其进行定量分析,分析结果表明降低石油工业单位GDP碳排放对我国石油工业投资有促进作用,石油工业投资的增长会促进经济增长,而经济增长又会推动石油工业的碳排放降低,此外,通过变系数模型的分析结果可以看出降低碳排放对石油工业投资的影响具有区域性差异。最后围绕定性与定量分析的结论,从三个变量间的影响关系出发,提出了包括发挥政策的规范作用、发挥相关部门的调控作用以及发挥节能减排的引导作用三个方面的对策建议,以实现我国石油工业投资、石油工业碳排放和经济增长协调发展。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the development of China's petroleum industry has been in line with international standards, the speed of development has been gradually accelerated, and the investment in China's petroleum industry has also been steadily increasing; however, as a major carbon emitter, China's petroleum industry investment needs to be responsible for high energy consumption and high pollution while developing at high speed. Therefore, how to coordinate oil industry investment, oil industry carbon emissions and economic growth has become a problem to be solved. Firstly, the present situation of petroleum industry investment, carbon emission and economic growth in petroleum industry are analyzed, and then the effects of oil industry investment, carbon emission and economic growth are analyzed one by using qualitative analysis method. It is found that the oil industry investment, carbon emissions and economic growth have a mutual impact on each other. Then, the relationship between oil industry investment, carbon emission and economic growth is quantitatively analyzed, and the "three yuan" cycle influence structure of oil industry investment, carbon emission and economic growth is established. The quantitative analysis by panel autovector regression model shows that the reduction of GDP carbon emissions in petroleum industry can promote China's petroleum industry investment, and the increase of oil industry investment will promote economic growth. The economic growth will promote the oil industry to reduce the carbon emissions, in addition, through the analysis of the variable coefficient model, we can see that there are regional differences in the impact of reducing carbon emissions on the oil industry investment. Finally, based on the conclusion of qualitative and quantitative analysis and the relationship between the three variables, the paper puts forward that the normative role of policy should be brought into play. In order to realize the coordinated development of China's petroleum industry investment, carbon emissions and economic growth, the paper gives full play to the regulatory role of relevant departments and the guiding role of energy saving and emission reduction in order to achieve the coordinated development of China's petroleum industry investment, carbon emissions and economic growth.
【学位授予单位】：中国石油大学(华东)
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.22;X196

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