激活区域LNG产业链的经济贡献及产业政策建议——以川渝地区为例

发布时间：2018-11-18 09:01

【摘要】：截至2016年底,全国共有建成、在建LNG加工厂160座,但全年平均开工率仅为37%。川渝地区是全国天然气市场最为成熟的区域,其天然气产业的发展具有代表性。近年来,该区域投资兴建了多座LNG加工厂,但开工率不足30%,严重偏低,区域内的LNG产业链发展较为迟缓。为此,首先剖析了该区LNG加工厂开工率不足的原因:(1)缺乏强有力的产业政策引导;(2)LNG下游市场规模有限,导致LNG市场需求量严重不足。然后分析了激活区域内LNG产业链对地方GPD、税收、就业岗位和环境效益的贡献,测算结果表明:若川渝地区LNG日需求量达1 500×10~4 m~3,则每年可贡献GDP 512.03亿元、就业岗位15 795个、税收41.17亿元、减排各类污染物369.9×10~4 t。进而提出了激活区域LNG产业链的建议:(1)移植新能源汽车优惠政策,全面扶持LNG汽车发展;(2)相关部门出台专项政策支持LNG加注站建设,促进LNG终端网络形成;(3)利用LNG作为城市燃气调峰和应急储备;(4)建立合理的LNG终端零售价格机制。
[Abstract]:By the end of 2016, a total of 160 LNG processing plants had been built nationwide, but the average annual operating rate was only 37. Sichuan-Chongqing region is the most mature region of the national natural gas market, its natural gas industry development is representative. In recent years, many LNG processing plants have been built in the region, but the operating rate is less than 30%, which is seriously low, and the development of LNG industrial chain in the region is relatively slow. For this reason, this paper first analyzes the reasons for the shortage of the operating rate of the LNG processing plants in this area: (1) the lack of strong industrial policy guidance; (2) the limited scale of the downstream market of LNG, which leads to the serious shortage of the demand of the LNG market. Then, the contribution of activating the LNG industry chain to local GPD, tax, employment and environmental benefit is analyzed. The results show that if the daily demand for LNG in Sichuan and Chongqing is 1 500 脳 10 ~ (4) m ~ (3), then GDP can be contributed to 51.203 billion yuan per year. There are 15, 795 jobs, 4.117 billion yuan in taxes and 369.9 脳 10 ~ (4) tons of pollutants. Then the suggestions of activating regional LNG industry chain are put forward: (1) transplanting the preferential policies of new energy vehicles, and fully supporting the development of LNG vehicles; (2) relevant departments issue special policies to support the construction of LNG filling stations and promote the formation of LNG terminal network; (3) using LNG as city gas peak shaving and emergency reserve; (4) establishing reasonable retail price mechanism of LNG terminal.
【作者单位】：中国石油西南油气田公司;
【分类号】：F426.22

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