石油波动影响哪些化工_炒石油骗局流程图_国际石油价格波动实证的研究.pdf文档全文免费阅读、在线看

  本文关键词：国际石油价格波动实证研究，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。

国际石油价格波动实证研究 Abstract Since internationaloil has a risentimesince 2003，the priceexperiencedlongest 1986．The oil soaredfromtheinitial25．30abarreltoabout150abarrelwhich price hasbeenrisenmorethanfourtimes withinfive thefinancialcrisis years．But in 2008causedadramaticdeclineinoil oil fellbelow happened price，theprice 40， whichhas decreased70 inlessthanhalfofa thefinancialcrisis percent year．After oil to broke100abarrelin2011． partlysolved，theprice increase，which began up the debt oil to However，influencedby crisis，the run Europe’S pricebegan violently． Asthesecond oil oil hasa on largestconsumingcountry,theprice significantimpact China’Seconomic andnational inorderto performance strategicsecurity，therefore makethe effectiverecommendationsand to withtherisk policy programscope the ofoil ofthecharacteristicsofoil producedby change price，thestudy price，，the factors theoil andthe ofoil is affectingprice predictionpriceveryimportant． of thebasis theresearchesonoil athomeand Firstly,on reviewing price abroad， wemadea onthefactors theoil qualitativeanalysis affectingprice,theanalyze showedthatoilhasthedualattributesofthe andfinancialandtheoil commodity wasnot affectedtheactualdemandand ofoilbutalsoaffected price only by supply theUSD rate，the ofoilfuturesandotherfinancial by exchange price totheevolutionoftheattributesofoilandthe characteristics variables．According ofthemovementoftheoil dividedthemovementoftheoil price，we price into1980-2002and2003-2010two weset asimultaneous phases，thenup equation modelfortheoil Oilthefirst anduseditto the oil price phase predictequilibrium onthesecond foundthattheactualoil onthesecondwas price phase，we price phase thanthe oil therewasa oil price higher equilibriumprice，SO superequilibrium existed．Onthis set aVARmodelandhada researchon basis，we up quantitative the oil ofoil

  本文关键词：国际石油价格波动实证研究，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。