当代埃及政治稳定问题研究（1971年至今）

发布时间：2018-05-14 06:27

本文选题：当代埃及 + 政治稳定　；参考：《中国社会科学院研究生院》2002年博士论文

【摘要】： 政治稳定是指某一政治体系的延续性、秩序性和可控性，它包括政权体系的延续性或稳定性、权力结构的合理性和政治运行过程的可控性。衡量当代埃及（1971 年至今）政治稳定或政治失稳的具体指标是：（1）政治共同体的稳定和政治合法性；（2）政府更迭频率；（3）人民运动或劳工运动；（4）伊斯兰极端组织发动的政治暴力事件的频率、强度和政府相应的镇压行动。我们的基本认识是：1971 -1981年萨达特时代政治动荡，穆巴拉克时代初期（1982-1985）政治基本稳定，1986-1990年代中期政治动荡，1990年代后期政治基本稳定。我们从政治、宗教和经济与社会问题3个层面展开研究，，提出政治制度是保持政治稳定的基本因素，伊斯兰极端组织是造成政治动荡的政治动员和组织因素（媒介），经济和社会问题（因素）是影响政治稳定问题的基础因素。从根本上讲，萨达特时代的政治动荡是突发性全方位的经济和社会转型造成的，萨达特的政治改革和伊斯兰极端组织发动的政治暴力加剧了政治危机和政治动荡。1986 一199O年代中期，埃及陷入严重的经济危机之中，伊斯兰极端组织找到肥沃的土壤，即宗教因素与经济和社会因素的结合，造成了10 年之久的政治动荡。
[Abstract]:Political stability refers to the continuity, order and controllability of a political system. Including the continuity or stability of the regime system, the rationality of the power structure and the process of political operation. The controllability of. Measure of political stability or political instability in contemporary Egypt (1971-present) (1) Stability and political legitimacy of the political Community (4) political violence by Islamic extremist groups The frequency and intensity of force events and the corresponding repressive actions of the government. Our basic understanding is: 1971. -political turmoil during the Sadat era in 1981, early Mubarak / 1982-1985) Basic political stability / political turmoil in the mid-1986-1990s / late 1990s Basically stable. We're doing this at three levels: political, religious, and economic and social. It is suggested that the political system is the basic factor to maintain political stability, and the Islamic extremist group is the cause of the political stability. Political mobilization and organization of political instability (media, economic and social issues (factors) It is the basic factor that affects the political stability problem. Fundamentally speaking, the politics of Sadat era The upheaval was the result of a sudden and comprehensive economic and social transformation, Sadat's political reform. And the political violence unleashed by Islamic extremist groups exacerbated the political crisis and political instability .1986 In the middle of the 1990s, Egypt was in the midst of a severe economic crisis, and Islamic extremist groups Finding fertile soil, that is, a combination of religious and economic and social factors, has resulted in 10 Years of political turmoil
【学位授予单位】：中国社会科学院研究生院
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2002
【分类号】：D741.1

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