东亚地区治理机制的有效性评估与未来发展

发布时间：2018-05-20 09:23

本文选题：国际机制 + 东亚地区治理　；参考：《当代亚太》2014年02期

【摘要】：当前,东亚及亚太区域存在诸多错综复杂的地区性治理机制,如何衡量与评估现有治理机制的有效性,并在此基础上审视和规划未来的区域治理机制,成为有待探讨的重要领域。地区治理机制有效性评估是指通过科学严谨的方法、程序、标准和措施来比较可观察到或可预测到的绩效。文章以目标获得、行为改变、问题解决和集体最优这四个角度作为一级评估指标,在此基础上,将问题程度、权力分配、机制能力、行为趋势、条款运用以及机制动力作为二级评估指标,发展一个相对全面的评估指标体系。这些指标体系试图分析给定问题领域的区域机制是否有效,即对东亚治理机制是否有效这一命题进行变量分析。研究显示,在目前东亚地区治理机制中,东盟、"10+3"与RCEP的有效性最高,而EAS、ARF与APEC的有效性最低,其他机制(TPP、GMS以及中日韩合作)的有效性程度总体居中。就未来发展而言,东亚地区各种不同的机制很难构建成一个全面统一的治理机制,各种机制竞相发展、相互竞争将是未来东亚机制的常态。其中,尤其以TPP、RCEP以及中日韩合作三个治理架构的演进最具关键意义。为此,需要积极研判中国的战略方针与政策选择,客观审视东亚治理机制各自不同的发展情况,及早进行谋划。
[Abstract]:At present, there are many complex regional governance mechanisms in East Asia and the Asia-Pacific region. How to measure and evaluate the effectiveness of existing governance mechanisms and, on this basis, to examine and plan future regional governance mechanisms, To become an important area to be explored. The evaluation of the effectiveness of regional governance mechanism refers to the comparison of observable or predictable performance through scientific and rigorous methods, procedures, standards and measures. This paper takes the four angles of goal acquisition, behavior change, problem solving and collective optimization as the primary evaluation index. On this basis, the degree of the problem, the distribution of power, the ability of mechanism, the tendency of behavior are put forward. The use of terms and mechanism as a second-level evaluation index, the development of a relatively comprehensive evaluation index system. These index systems attempt to analyze whether the regional mechanism in a given problem area is effective, that is, to make a variable analysis of the proposition of whether the governance mechanism in East Asia is effective or not. The results show that the effectiveness of ASEAN "103" and RCEP is the highest, while that of EAS-ARF and APEC is the lowest among the current governance mechanisms in East Asia, and the overall effectiveness of other mechanisms is in the middle of that of China, Japan and South Korea. As far as the future development is concerned, it is very difficult to construct a comprehensive and unified governance mechanism in East Asia, and the competition among different mechanisms will be the norm of the future East Asian mechanism. Among them, the evolution of three governance structures, especially TPPU RCEP and Sino-Japanese-Korean cooperation, is of the most critical significance. Therefore, it is necessary to actively study China's strategic policy and policy choices, objectively examine the different development situations of East Asian governance mechanism, and plan as soon as possible.
【作者单位】：上海对外经贸大学法学院国际战略与政策分析研究所;
【基金】：上海对外经贸大学“085工程”重大攻关项目“全球治理机制有效性现状评估及中国参与的对策研究”(项目编号:Z085ZDGG13004) 上海对外经贸大学中央财政支持地方高校发展专项资金(项目编号:YC-XK-13301)的资助
【分类号】：D731

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