欧债危机影响下的欧洲五国:政党执政与提前大选探析

发布时间：2018-09-17 13:35

【摘要】：在竞争性体制下,各个政党通过赢得多数选票(选民票或选举人票)来赢得执政权;而哪个政党能执政(直接反映在选民投票中)也会受制于多种因素。多数学者关注的是国内情势对大选的影响,本文则将重点置于外部因素,力求去探索外部因素对于政党执政(或不执政)的影响到底有多大。论文以欧洲债务危机时期的欧洲五国——葡萄牙、意大利、爱尔兰、希腊、西班牙为例,因这五国受欧债危机影响最为严重(被戏称为"欧猪五国"),并导致执政党下台和提前大选。论文具体描述这五个国家受危机的影响程度、提前大选的结果和选后政府组建情况,并探讨外部经济危机之于政党执政的影响。基本结论是:外部危机对于政党执政的影响是巨大的,但对于外部危机是如何引起国内政治力量的变化和博弈,仍需要做进一步的研究。
[Abstract]:In a competitive system, political parties win power by winning a majority of votes (voters or electors), and which political parties can govern (directly reflected in the voter vote) are also subject to a variety of factors. Most scholars are concerned about the influence of the domestic situation on the general election. This paper focuses on the external factors and tries to explore the influence of the external factors on the ruling (or not ruling) of the political parties. This paper takes five European countries in the period of European debt crisis Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, Spain as examples, The five countries were the worst hit by the European debt crisis (dubbed the "European Pig five") and led to the ouster of the ruling party and early elections. The paper specifically describes the influence of the crisis on the five countries, the results of early election and the formation of government after the election, and discusses the influence of external economic crisis on the ruling party. The basic conclusion is that the influence of external crisis on political party governance is great, but how external crisis causes changes and games of domestic political power still needs to be further studied.
【作者单位】：中共上海市委党校(上海行政学院)党史党建教研部(政党研究所);
【基金】：2012年国家社会科学基金重大项目“国外执政党治党理政比较研究”(编号:12&ZD078) 2011年国家哲学社会科学规划青年课题“新时期提高党的执政能力建设研究”(编号:11CZZ012)的阶段性研究成果
【分类号】：D58

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